2020 Poll Hype Thread

[tagimaucia]

Any word on when we're getting a good poll of NV? We really don't know the state of the race there.

Someone from Data for Progress said on twitter that they're polling Nevada

[tagimaucia]

UNF sure is a downgrade from Siena.

As long as one of them still does the real time polling maps, I can sleep easy at night.

Nate said NYT isn’t doing it this year at all. It was in a random reply tweet so I’m not going to the effort of finding it.

[tagimaucia]

I think Quinnipiac is a mostly fine pollster, and they have a pretty good track record in other states like Texas, but I won't pay any attention to their FL polls.  I don't know what the deal is, but even in the years when they got close to the final result (unlike 2018), their results are way too volatile and swingy from poll to poll in FL to be taken seriously.

[tagimaucia]

since it's ABC i'm expecting like Minnesota + 10 biden and Wisconsin +9 biden

Huh?  ABC/Wapo is probably one of the two or three most consistently good long running polls out there, and they don't have much of a partisan bias.  Their last several high profile polls were Dems +8 (2018), Doug Jones +3, Northam +5, and Hillary +3.

[tagimaucia]

Is the lightness/darkness of each dot reflective of how much weight that respondent was given?

[tagimaucia]

Is there really not going to be a final ABC/Wapo national poll this year? The gold standard for national polling IMO, and the state polling they seem to have done instead seems of rather questionable quality in comparison.