NY 2022 - Zeldin/Esposito, Libertarian & WFP updates

[GeorgiaModerate]

Interesting theory here:

https://twitter.com/DrewSav/status/1587922328259731457

[GeorgiaModerate]

If you believe the punditry in CA in 2021, it's basically how that went. I'm not quite sure if that was really what was going on, but I think many believed at first that the race would be sleepy and that's why Newsom was cratering and then his poll #s only went up b/c the whole thing (and Elder) woke Dems up.

Basically how the polls magically went from like Newsom +7 to Newsom double digits pretty quickly. Though I imagine he was always going to win by a big margin.

But I do imagine the coverage of this race and the thought of Zeldin winning has probably woke quite a few Dems up

If that's what's actually happening, it may help Democrats on the margins in close House races.

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/1580957120203202560/9PkF5I_9_400x400.jpg

Yup this is the Dems last hope in November

You know you’re winning the argument when you start mocking physical appearance.

Not a single person here lampooning Drew Savicki has justified why his appearance would tell us anything about how credible his arguments are. Not a single one.

Thank you.  When people can't attack the argument, they attack the messenger.  And attacking the messenger by mocking his appearance is both weak and childish.

[GeorgiaModerate]

to get this back on topic what is everyone's prediction for the margin in this race. I predict somewhere around 57-42 Hochul.

I’ll go a bit closer than that, say Hochul +12.