MI - Gravis: Biden+13
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Author Topic: MI - Gravis: Biden+13  (Read 1591 times)
n1240
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« on: October 25, 2020, 09:56:47 AM »
https://gravismarketing.com/michigan-poll-results-2020/

Biden 55
Trump 42

10/24, 679 LV
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #1 on: October 25, 2020, 09:57:29 AM »
Gravismentum
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #2 on: October 25, 2020, 09:58:19 AM »
So... This is consistent with their Biden+11 result in WI, conducted at a parallel time.

Need to confirm with higher quality pollsters.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #3 on: October 25, 2020, 09:58:24 AM »
What has happened to the real Gravis Marketing?
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ucscgaldamez1
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« Reply #4 on: October 25, 2020, 09:59:02 AM »
LOL
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Crumpets
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« Reply #5 on: October 25, 2020, 09:59:03 AM »
I seriously do not understand Gravis. They were trash before 2020. In 2020 they somehow managed to bamboozle OANN into coordinating with them and maybe giving themselves some legitimacy with the anti-mainstream fringe right media followers. Now they're blowing that legitimacy by releasing these extreme pro-Biden outliers? If I didn't know any better, I'd think they're just terrible at their jobs.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #6 on: October 25, 2020, 10:00:14 AM »
WOLVERINE JOE !
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iamaganster123
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« Reply #7 on: October 25, 2020, 10:02:33 AM »
What does a nut say when it sneezes?

cashew
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #8 on: October 25, 2020, 10:03:01 AM »
Trafalgar, Zia and Gravis are 15 points apart.

At least there’s no herding.

That’s good news for Biden, because it means the polling average should turn out to be true.
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n1240
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« Reply #9 on: October 25, 2020, 10:03:11 AM »
Gravis seems to be finding abnormally high Trump approval ratings along with even abnormally higher Biden favorability ratings. In this poll Trump is at 48-50 approval and Biden is at 59-38 favorability. In Wisconsin Trump is at 47-52 approval and Biden is at 60-39 favorability. PA is 48-49 Trump approval and 58-39 Biden favorability.
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forza nocta
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« Reply #10 on: October 25, 2020, 10:04:12 AM »
With these Michigan results between Gravis and Trafalgar, someone is gonna be out of business in 2 weeks
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Beet
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« Reply #11 on: October 25, 2020, 10:04:38 AM »
So we have anywhere from Trafalgar with Trump +3 to Gravis with Biden +13. How is this even possible? I understand that herding is bad but this is like throwing darts at a number board. With a range this big what's the point of polls?
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #12 on: October 25, 2020, 10:08:26 AM »
Quote from: Beet on October 25, 2020, 10:04:38 AM
So we have anywhere from Trafalgar with Trump +3 to Gravis with Biden +13. How is this even possible? I understand that herding is bad but this is like throwing darts at a number board. With a range this big what's the point of polls?

Gravis is trashy and Trafalgar unskews their own polls. Higher-quality polling has a narrower confidence interval.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #13 on: October 25, 2020, 10:34:04 AM »
New Poll: Michigan President by Gravis Marketing on 2020-10-24

Summary: D: 55%, R: 42%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Buzz
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« Reply #14 on: October 25, 2020, 10:37:49 AM »
So Joe Biden is winning all whites and all males?  Sure!
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neostassenite31
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« Reply #15 on: October 25, 2020, 10:59:43 AM »
It would be genuinely shocking if Biden actually end up winning the white vote in MI
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Holmes
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« Reply #16 on: October 25, 2020, 11:42:44 AM »
So random that Gravis decided to reappear all of a sudden in the last week of the election.
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BlueSwan
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« Reply #17 on: October 25, 2020, 11:52:48 AM »
Quote from: Beet on October 25, 2020, 10:04:38 AM
So we have anywhere from Trafalgar with Trump +3 to Gravis with Biden +13. How is this even possible? I understand that herding is bad but this is like throwing darts at a number board. With a range this big what's the point of polls?
It's just because both of these pollsters are utter trash. Look at the credible polls instead and you'll find swings in a more normal range.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #18 on: October 25, 2020, 01:42:01 PM »
MoE: 3.8%

Uncertain 3%
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #19 on: October 25, 2020, 10:16:13 PM »
Death roll by an alligator? Michigan doesn't have alligators.
 
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