Lower Evangelical turnout could be bad news for Santorum. Mittens carried the Tea Party vote in IL. This might be closer than we thought.
Read about why types of Roman Catholics are turning out. Evangelicals might not make up as much of the vote because of the amount of Catholics and it's religious Catholics turning out.
Also, I doubt Tea Partiers are as conservative in IL as they are in LA.
By the way, way to ignore how the amount of people saying they're "very conservative" might be record breaking. Not good for Mitt.