True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
Ernest
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Posts: 42,144
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« on: May 10, 2010, 12:29:33 PM » |
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I think one to two percentage points of the discrepancy came from pollsters doing their best to ignore the fact that both the BNP and UKIP were standing in a lot more constituencies this time. A fair amount of the LibDem vote is pure protest vote at the two major parties, and with the BNP and UKIP to choose from as well as Lib Dems, some of that siphoned off to them. Of course to test that proposition someone should do some regression analysis comparing Lib Dem swing where BNP and/or UKIP were standing for the first time to Lib Dem swing where they weren't.
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