AZ-PPP (D): Flake getting crushed by Generic Democrat (user search)
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  AZ-PPP (D): Flake getting crushed by Generic Democrat (search mode)
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Author Topic: AZ-PPP (D): Flake getting crushed by Generic Democrat  (Read 6172 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,830
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« on: August 03, 2017, 08:55:01 AM »

Ward will probably be the GOP nominee anyways.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,830
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #1 on: August 03, 2017, 09:47:11 AM »

I would say with Ward it's like 47R-43D.

Heller will lose by 3-4 points
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,830
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #2 on: August 03, 2017, 10:09:00 AM »

I would say with Ward it's like 47R-43D.

Heller will lose by 3-4 points

A. Not even close with Ward.
B. This is not Nevada, so don't talk about Heller here.

Kristen Cinema would obviously cone close but Flake or Ward can still win
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,830
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #3 on: August 03, 2017, 05:22:23 PM »

I would love to see a tied Senate again or a 50/49 R Senate with Kid Rock def Stabenow.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,830
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #4 on: August 03, 2017, 05:35:26 PM »

Yeah, Thanx for correction.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,830
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #5 on: August 04, 2017, 09:53:41 AM »

If Trump's approvals were anywhere close to 50, Dems will be in serious trouble, where GOP would have picked up 5-7 seats. Dems may net lose a seat, and that would be a neutral year for them.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,830
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #6 on: August 06, 2017, 01:08:28 AM »

Flake is no Heller, and in a neutral year, where GOP, will barely hang onto Senate until 2020, Flake can win. We've seen flawed AZ polling in 2016 with McCain. GOP keeps this seat.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,830
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #7 on: August 06, 2017, 03:30:50 PM »

Yes, I was referring to the fact, that I do believe Kelly Ward will be the nxt Senator from AZ, due to the fact, a Democrat won't be elected to AZ Senate until 2022, when McCain is finish and I hope its Mark Kelly. 

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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,830
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #8 on: August 06, 2017, 04:33:05 PM »

It is a prediction and its a bold one, AZ polling was eracted in 2016 and said Kirkpatrick was competitive with McCain and she wasn't.

Kelly Ward will win the primary against Flake, but she isn't Josh Mandel.  And neither is Kid Rock, both are upset predictions, but they are good candidates.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,830
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #9 on: August 06, 2017, 04:36:25 PM »

Where's the Democratic bench? Kirkpatrick was bad as well. 
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,830
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #10 on: August 06, 2017, 05:17:01 PM »

I am a donkey and will stay that way. But, until things change on the FBI side, with the Mueller investigation, Dems won't take Congress in 2018.  AZ is a libertarian, more like FL, OH and Iowa states, but its more like TX when it comes to immigration reform. Secure the border first and citizenship status later which Ward and Flake have clear positions on.

Unlike Heller, who changes positions on ACA all the time, support McConnell or not
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