^So basically, 1 and 6-8 were pretty Trumpy, and 2 remained pretty even, yet MN-03 swung against Trump enough to deliver the state to Clinton. Anyone have an idea why 3 swung hard left but not 2?
MN-03 is the most upscale CD in MN in SES by far. So it moved hard against Trump, while more middle class MN-02 was about static. So this fits the expected pattern well.
Off topic a tad, but the biggest shock to me, is that Trump did about the same with white voters as Romney (just a one point difference), but cut into the Dem percentages with respect to persons of color. That combined with a drop in black turnout, was what swung the election. The static nature of the white split shows just how dramatic whites diverged when it comes to swing by SES status, and "cosmopolitanism."