Miles' Election Map Thread (user search)
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  Miles' Election Map Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: Miles' Election Map Thread  (Read 113268 times)
Torie
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Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

« on: February 06, 2013, 01:05:47 PM »

Why did those inner city precincts in Winston-Salem and Greensboro trend so strongly Dem? Are they getting more black?
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Torie
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Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 46,080
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

« Reply #1 on: November 13, 2016, 11:36:37 AM »

Wonderful maps showing regional voting patterns, just wonderful. Smiley
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Torie
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Posts: 46,080
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

« Reply #2 on: November 14, 2016, 11:06:44 AM »

^So basically, 1 and 6-8 were pretty Trumpy, and 2 remained pretty even, yet MN-03 swung against Trump enough to deliver the state to Clinton. Anyone have an idea why 3 swung hard left but not 2?

MN-03 is the most upscale CD in MN in SES by far. So it moved hard against Trump, while more middle class MN-02 was about static. So this fits the expected pattern well.

Off topic a tad, but the biggest shock to me, is that Trump did about the same with white voters as Romney (just a one point difference), but cut into the Dem percentages with respect to persons of color. That combined with a drop in black turnout, was what swung the election. The static nature of the white split shows just how dramatic whites diverged when it comes to swing by SES status, and "cosmopolitanism."
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Torie
Moderators
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 46,080
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

« Reply #3 on: November 23, 2016, 11:56:53 AM »


Trump carried my old precinct in Orange County by but 3 points, at least a 7 point swing to Clinton from 2012. That is no surprise. The precinct has next to no working class white voters, and is highly educated, with a fair number of high income Asians.
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