PREDICT: NJ-05 Garrett (R) vs. Gottheimer (D) (user search)
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  PREDICT: NJ-05 Garrett (R) vs. Gottheimer (D) (search mode)
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Author Topic: PREDICT: NJ-05 Garrett (R) vs. Gottheimer (D)  (Read 1122 times)
Torie
Moderators
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 46,079
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

« on: November 01, 2016, 09:06:19 AM »

If Garrett holds this seat, that suggests to me the the Dem gain in the House will be in the single digits, which now appears to be about where it's at.
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Torie
Moderators
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 46,079
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

« Reply #1 on: November 01, 2016, 09:22:38 AM »

It's an R+4 district and 89% non-hispanic white, there's more favorable targets for Dems than NJ-5.

Yeah, but Garrett is a sub par incumbent who is not a very good fit for the district, with its fairly big chunk of upscale zip codes.
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Torie
Moderators
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 46,079
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2016, 01:36:24 PM »

Rep. Garrett is one of America's greatest congress members. I believe NJ-05 will realize this and re-elect him.

Really?  The poor guy has issues, and needs therapy methinks. Leaving office will give him time to do that. Where's your compassion? Smiley
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