Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
Posts: 28,459
Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96
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« on: October 26, 2016, 06:38:42 PM » |
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« edited: October 26, 2016, 06:43:28 PM by Maxwell »
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My guess? statistical noise.
People are analyzing the race all wrong - there isn't a subset of 20% of the voting population going "wait, i'm for trump, wait, i'm for clinton". A huge, whopping majority have already made up their minds, and probably have made it up since at least the conventions if not earlier.
And it shows in the polls - In the two-way, Trump has never done better than 45% or so, and Clinton has never done worse than about 44%. In the four-way, Trump has never done much better than 41%, Clinton has never done much worse than 40%. Clinton is ahead, and has been ahead for a long time.
The only time "The Donald" has ever managed a full on lead in the polls was during The Republican Convention - the exact time when as a Republican you're SUPPOSED to lead.
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