MO/NV/NH/NC/PA/WI - PPP: Clinton leads in NV, NH, NC, PA, WI; Trump leads in MO (user search)
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  MO/NV/NH/NC/PA/WI - PPP: Clinton leads in NV, NH, NC, PA, WI; Trump leads in MO (search mode)
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Author Topic: MO/NV/NH/NC/PA/WI - PPP: Clinton leads in NV, NH, NC, PA, WI; Trump leads in MO  (Read 2453 times)
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,227
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« on: November 04, 2016, 01:19:41 PM »

Well, this is more than a bit relieving.

Senate numbers suggest that NC and MO might be slipping away, though...
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,227
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #1 on: November 04, 2016, 02:03:01 PM »

Senate numbers suggest that NC and MO might be slipping away, though...

I'd hardly say that. They are in line with what we've been seeing for some time now:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/senate/nc/north_carolina_senate_burr_vs_d_ross-5693.html
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/senate/mo/missouri_senate_blunt_vs_kander-5631.html

They are both still essentially tossups. I think NC will be determined by whether Trump or Clinton wins it, and by how much (C+3 or more could bring Ross over I think). Missouri, who knows. But really those numbers shouldn't change your outlook given other recent polls for those races.

I certainly hope you're right. Ross winning would be especially heartening, but for that to happen, I think that the AA share of the electorate needs to stay roughly where it was in 2012 - and it's currently far behind...
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