2017: NJ Gubernatorial/legislative elections

[MT Treasurer]

First results out of Hunterdon County:

48.3% Ciattarelli
33.6% Guadagno

52.1% Murphy
17.9% Wisniewski
14.6% Johnson

[MT Treasurer]

Ciattarelli takes a 3-point lead again, Murphy at 64%.

[MT Treasurer]

Murphy with 60% in Essex County (Newark). Decision Desk calls it for Murphy.

[MT Treasurer]

Murphy will win, but the margin will probably continue to narrow. Guadagno is favored, but I wouldn't call this one yet.

[MT Treasurer]

This can be called for Guadagno at this point.

D+1.

[MT Treasurer]

This can be called for Guadagno at this point.

D+1.

You never know...

Murphy is a perfect fit for NJ, and I don't see Guadagno having enough crossover appeal (or any crossover appeal at all, for that matter) to win. Christie only won because of Corzine's low approval ratings in 2009 anyway.

[MT Treasurer]

Nothing against her, but she's way too low energy. I feel like the NJ GOP should have gone with Ciattarelli. He wouldn't have won, but it would have been closer for sure.

[MT Treasurer]

Any guess on who will win Morris and Gloucester County?

[MT Treasurer]

Strong turnout in Sussex County

[MT Treasurer]

Ideology:

43% Moderate
35% Liberal
22% Conservative

[MT Treasurer]

Doesn't matter now though Guadagno has a extremely early vote lead of 58-38%

Badly underperforming in this heavy R county, though.