If There Is Anything Dems Should Panicking Over
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  If There Is Anything Dems Should Panicking Over
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Author Topic: If There Is Anything Dems Should Panicking Over  (Read 1009 times)
Wonkish1
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« on: October 15, 2012, 12:36:10 PM »

It's Romney latest favorability numbers.

Most veterans know that change in favorability numbers are usually the best leading indicator as to what the polls will be like in the future. Obviously it has its problems as well, but pollsters have frequently talked about how unreliable head to head polling is more than a few weeks out and tend to prefer trends in favorability polling up until the last few weeks(primarily because of its more consistent numbers and relative difficulty for candidates to change--less noise).

Romney's favorability numbers have gone from a huge deficit to almost parity with Obama. That should give any Dem pause for concern.

Of course this is still going to take back seat to the upcoming debates(which it should).
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Yank2133
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« Reply #1 on: October 15, 2012, 12:39:37 PM »

Romney's favorability numbers are still in the tank in Ohio....so no Democrats really shouldn't be panicking over anything.
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Wonkish1
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« Reply #2 on: October 15, 2012, 12:43:14 PM »
« Edited: October 15, 2012, 12:54:12 PM by Wonkish1 »

Romney's favorability numbers are still in the tank in Ohio....so no Democrats really shouldn't be panicking over anything.


No they're not. They are about even. Granted they are about 5 pts behind his national favorability though.
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BigSkyBob
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« Reply #3 on: October 15, 2012, 12:47:29 PM »

Another cause for panic is Team Romney's ad advantage going down the stretch after Team Obama had dominated the air earlier in the campaign.
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milhouse24
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« Reply #4 on: October 15, 2012, 08:20:08 PM »

Who knew Mormons could be so friendly. 
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #5 on: October 15, 2012, 08:45:03 PM »

Another cause for panic is Team Romney's ad advantage going down the stretch after Team Obama had dominated the air earlier in the campaign.

Eh, Team Romney might spend more money, but if you count the actual minutes of ads put on TV by both, I'm pretty sure it'll be close to parity.
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King
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« Reply #6 on: October 15, 2012, 09:04:06 PM »

Favorability shifts are a symptom of Obama-lost-the-debate not a separate illness.
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Lincoln Republican
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« Reply #7 on: October 15, 2012, 09:13:13 PM »

Be afraid Dems, be V E R Y afraid.               
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BigSkyBob
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« Reply #8 on: October 16, 2012, 12:00:04 AM »

Another cause for panic is Team Romney's ad advantage going down the stretch after Team Obama had dominated the air earlier in the campaign.

Eh, Team Romney might spend more money, but if you count the actual minutes of ads put on TV by both, I'm pretty sure it'll be close to parity.

You are raising a distinction that simply doesn't make a difference. Obama could buy 3AM infomercial hours to pad the minute count.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #9 on: October 16, 2012, 08:16:17 AM »

Who knew Mormons could be so friendly. 

They can be. They can be good people. Mitt Romney is not a good person. 
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J. J.
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« Reply #10 on: October 16, 2012, 09:00:32 AM »


Agreed, but Obama can stop it tonight.

If he doesn't, it is time for the D's to panic.
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