GA-Atlanta Journal-Constitution: Trump +2

[HillOfANight]

Crosstabs?

http://www.ajc.com/news/national/georgia-statewide-poll/
Compared to their October 2012, which nailed the 8 point race, he's underperforming the ATL exurbs and Metro ATL by ~10.

[HillOfANight]

Maybe they don't believe their own results and want to reserve the option of claiming last minute Clinton surge in GA

[HillOfANight]

Whites were 61% in 2012 as defined by SoS and while I'm sure some of those people who were only categorized as "other" or "unknown" by SoS are in fact white, they're basically ignoring all of the non-black, non-white vote here.

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http://www.myajc.com/news/news/local-govt-politics/minority-voter-registration-surges/nsszT/
Since 2015

Black voter registration +21%
Asian registration +41%
Hispanic registration +46%
White registration +15%

[HillOfANight]

Go now, we need your vote in case you get sick

[HillOfANight]

Haven't seen her close to 27% with whites in any poll though...

[HillOfANight]

Crosstabs?

http://media.cmgdigital.com/shared/news/documents/2016/10/21/30594_GA_Poll_FINAL_Banners_Likely_Voters.pdf

Crosstabs posted. Fun county breakdowns (super small subsamples though). Generally horrific for Trump.

Cobb is 50%C-50%T (Obama 43 Romney 56)
Dekalb is 92%C-8%T (Obama 82% Romney 21%)
Fulton 77%C-23%T (Obama 64% Romney 35%)

[HillOfANight]

http://www.cnn.com/election/2014/results/state/GA/senate/
Nunn got 92%, not 95%. Just thinking of the worst case scenarios... Same % of voters, but 92% gets her to 48.1%.

She can still win in that scenario though if Trump only gets 70% of the white vote (47.5%). That's a tough hurdle though, since McCain got 76% and Perdue got 74%, but maybe she can do it if enough GOP don't vote for him or vote Johnson/writein.