Diaz-Balarts: Which is more vulnerable?

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Write-in: The entire human race via meteor strike.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Write-in:

Painfully obvious hack response:

In terms of vulnerability: the entire human race via meteor strike > Frank Lautenberg

I wish I could seriously disagree.

Nature probably has a better chance of taking out Lautenberg than Zimmer does.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Write-in: The entire human race via meteor strike.

Yeah, and Sue Kelly and Charlie Bass were beloved centrists who were never going to lose... the history and record are what they are, but these guys have never been seriously challenged by viable candidates before in a dramatically changing environment. Maybe they'll cruise to reelection this year, but until they do, it's hubristic to presume that nothing has changed.

I think it's hubristic to think that anything has changed.  There is a big difference between moving moderate-to-liberal independent voters and hard-wired Cuban voters.

Winning GOP-held seats in New England is very different than winning GOP-held seats in Florida.  The Kelly/Bass seats have been trending Democratic for at least a decade.  Democrats breaking into the Cuban vote is something that's still in the planning stage.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Just for the record,

Wetterling lost to Kennedy by 8.05%.

Wetterling lost to Bachmann by 7.98%.

Though Wetterling's share of the vote fell from 46% to 42%.