Skill and Chance
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« on: June 10, 2015, 04:46:50 PM » |
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« edited: June 10, 2015, 04:50:10 PM by Skill and Chance »
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Very interesting. It seems clear that Obama will flip the tied PV EC advantage as IRL when Colorado and Nevada drift left of the nation. But he probably loses it after reapportionment and 2012 comes down to even VA (which Obama would still have won PVI wise in a tie, but only by <1000 votes). This is all pending Rio Grande, of course. Obama probably wins there.
Edit: Obama does win Rio Grande both times, but by less than he won the nation. So 2012 still comes down to VA, provided at least 3 net EV shift south/west.
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