PA-Morning Call/Muhlenberg College: Clinton +9

[Gass3268]

But muh Trump surge?!?

Never heard of this pollster... Probably junk. C+5 sounds more like it

A rating on 538, with a 0.5 Republican bias

[Gass3268]

Hillary continues to dominate in the Southeast part of the state 56-26. Philly suburbs will carry the state for Clinton.

[Gass3268]

Clinton is probably leading Pennsylvania, but by 9? This was taken completely after the pneumonia and deplorables, too. Probably junk.

Also taken partially during the birther controversy. Probably didn't go over well with the college educated in the Philadelphia suburbs.

[Gass3268]

Even though it does look fairly Clinton-friendly, it still shows that Trump is going to have a hard time getting to 270, and that PA was never going to be easy to flip.

He doesn't need. Current states with the advantage plus either Wisconsin or Colorado wins it for him.

So it's not going to happen...

[Gass3268]

Even though it does look fairly Clinton-friendly, it still shows that Trump is going to have a hard time getting to 270, and that PA was never going to be easy to flip.

He doesn't need. Current states with the advantage plus either Wisconsin or Colorado wins it for him.

So it's not going to happen...

I'd wait for more CO and WI polls, but I think PA is definitely gone for him. Maybe PA is going the way of Illinois and New Jersey, who knows.

Maybe Wisconsin, but Colorado is too educated for Trump.

[Gass3268]

There's a rumor that Marist is about to drop a PA poll showing a tie.

It's a rumor. Take it for what it's worth.

I've seen nothing on a Google and Twitter search.

[Gass3268]

There's a rumor that Marist is about to drop a PA poll showing a tie.

It's a rumor. Take it for what it's worth.

Uh, lol. Want to point us to your sources or are you an amdcpus sock?

Brandon Finnigan from twitter (not the baseball player). Sorry, I can't post links yet.

Brandon Finnigan, formally known as CAC, is a respected prognosticator who founded DecisionDesk HQ. Again, take rumors for what they're worth.

I've read through his stream of tweets today, he's guessing.

[Gass3268]

There's a rumor that Marist is about to drop a PA poll showing a tie.

It's a rumor. Take it for what it's worth.

Uh, lol. Want to point us to your sources or are you an amdcpus sock?

Brandon Finnigan from twitter (not the baseball player). Sorry, I can't post links yet.

Brandon Finnigan, formally known as CAC, is a respected prognosticator who founded DecisionDesk HQ. Again, take rumors for what they're worth.

I'm 95% sure he's joking.

Agreed, he's had more tweets saying that the Republican polling showing Clinton up in Bucks County means that Trump is losing the state by more.

[Gass3268]

it's like illinois on a smaller scale...there are theoretically enough votes to kill phillie and some areas of the country are going red and becoming redder but it's a lot harder than in ohio and republicans didn't really shine regarding GOTV in comparison.

Illinois also doesn't have another major city on the other side of the state that's as Democratic as Pittsburgh.

[Gass3268]

This one poll moved the entire 538 forecast about 1.5 points to Clinton

The Ohio polls were pulling down the numbers in PA.