NYC Mayor/2021 Megathread

[KaiserDave]

https://twitter.com/patkiernan/status/1384110763883696134

Wow, best poll for Scott yet.

[KaiserDave]

What a great week for my guy Scott Stringer. Amazing. So proud to be working for his campaign!

How's it looking on the campaign trail? You having fun out there? What are you doing for the campaign at the moment?

Pretty good! I am mostly pamphleteering, which is what I enjoy most. It's extra fun when Scott is involved! I am also doing some social media stuff behind the scenes too. Which is great!

[KaiserDave]

Calling it now. It's going to be Stringer.

Ah, the Beet prediction, the kiss of death. I should quit and go home.

🙄

I don't know, is 10% of the global population dead? Did Trump win? :/

[KaiserDave]

https://twitter.com/emmagf/status/1384824582335565824?s=21

As a pretty solid front runner, this won’t be the last semi-opportunistic endorsement that Yang gets (Menchaca is term limited and wants some appointment job or Yang’s support in some future run). Politicians flock to a perceived winner.

Seems pretty damning for Stringer, though, given he would have been the obvious choice for Menchaca to endorse. Suggests that Manchaca really does think Yang is guaranteed to win

No that’s Morales who was expected

[KaiserDave]

https://twitter.com/emmagf/status/1384824582335565824?s=21

As a pretty solid front runner, this won’t be the last semi-opportunistic endorsement that Yang gets (Menchaca is term limited and wants some appointment job or Yang’s support in some future run). Politicians flock to a perceived winner.

Seems pretty damning for Stringer, though, given he would have been the obvious choice for Menchaca to endorse. Suggests that Manchaca really does think Yang is guaranteed to win

No that’s Morales who was expected

Was it? As far as I can recall, Menchaca & Yang acted pretty friendly toward one another on the campaign trail when the former was still in the race, so - in that light - this news wouldn't really be all that shocking.

Oh I absolutely agree. This doesn’t surprise me at all. But Morales was the one most people assumed prior to all of him and Yang appearing together

[KaiserDave]

Morales is no longer saying she will rank Wiley second

[KaiserDave]

I really hope Yang wins. We desperately need him.

No

[KaiserDave]

I really hope Yang wins. We desperately need him.

You must be new to this thread. Nonetheless, you certainly got guts.

Do you say anything interesting

[KaiserDave]

Frontrunner
Andrew Yang
Competitors
Eric Adams, Scott Stringer
Periphery of Competition
Maya Wiley, Ray McGuire
Field
Shaun Donovan, Diane Morales, Kathryn Garcia

Here is my current breakdown, I've adjusted it to better reflect the state of the race. There's three people with a chance, two people who might break into the top tier, a field of people vying to get into competition, and one guy who just stays in the lead.

[KaiserDave]

Frontrunner
Andrew Yang
Competitors
Eric Adams, Scott Stringer
Periphery of Competition
Maya Wiley, Ray McGuire
Field
Shaun Donovan, Diane Morales, Kathryn Garcia

Here is my current breakdown, I've adjusted it to better reflect the state of the race. There's three people with a chance, two people who might break into the top tier, a field of people vying to get into competition, and one guy who just stays in the lead.

How set is the field?

Well, I'm pretty sure that nobody other than Yang, Stringer, and Adams actually has a chance. Wiley could get in, but not getting the UFT endorsement was a big blow for her. As for the rest, it's hard to predict how they will sort out. McGuire looks like he has some momentum, Morales might, it's hard to tell. But none of them will win.



Oh, and here is a congressional endorsements map. Stringer has 3 (Bowman, Nadler, Espaillat), Wiley has 2 (Clarke, Velazquez), McGuire has 1 (Meeks), Yang has 1 (Torres), and Adams has 1 (Suozzi).

[KaiserDave]

SNIP

That's not Meeks' district.

Fixed

[KaiserDave]

Scott has gone on TV!

[KaiserDave]

Scott has gone on TV!

This is a great ad. It's tongue-in-cheek, but not obnoxious, and emphasizes why Stringer is the most qualified candidate. It also shows that he's taking the race seriously, which Yang seems pretty averse to. I also like that the ad doesn't call out Yang directly, but anyone tuned into the race can clearly see it's in response to him.

I love it too! And the smile at the end is adorable.

[KaiserDave]

Oh dear.

I am in wait and see mode. I really do like Scott but these allegations are obviously disqualifying.

I will not do any more volunteer work until I see more. Depending on what happens next I will stick with him or cease my support.

If I do cease my support I'll go 1. Morales 2. Donovan 3. Garcia 4. Write In and then go home and be sad.

[KaiserDave]

Damn this sucks. Was settling on Scott as my #2 choice before this (and the first ranked choice with a chance to win). Going to wait and see how this plays out...

In the same boat but had Scott as #1

[KaiserDave]

If this blows up and isn't discredited, it makes Mayor Yang or Adams all but inevitable. But we'll see.

[KaiserDave]

Scott is unequivocally denying the accusations but waiting for the person to speak to speak further

[KaiserDave]

Scott's campaign is now saying they had a brief consensual relationship.

So, yeah I'm done. This no longer constitutes a denial and is thus unacceptable, and I'm not gonna be the volunteer on the street explaining this to voters, many of whom are women and may be survivors.

So, yeah, I'll either by helping Lander or returning to the sidelines.

[KaiserDave]

Yeah Yang is going to win, Scott was the only guy with the coalition to beat him, and now that coalition is irreparably damaged

[KaiserDave]

1. Write In: Phil Scott 2. Donovan 3. Morales 4. Garcia 5. Yang

[KaiserDave]

Popping in just to say that I can't help feeling pretty sorry for KaiserDave after the recent news about Scott Stringer. Pages of posts on the enthusiasm about working on Stringer's campaign now totally shattered. F

1. Write In: Phil Scott 2. Donovan 3. Morales 4. Garcia 5. Yang

Is that just a meme or would you actually write in the Phil? It would be fitting for you I guess.

I will write in someone

[KaiserDave]

Scott's campaign is now saying they had a brief consensual relationship.

So, yeah I'm done. This no longer constitutes a denial and is thus unacceptable, and I'm not gonna be the volunteer on the street explaining this to voters, many of whom are women and may be survivors.

So, yeah, I'll either by helping Lander or returning to the sidelines.

Sorry to hear that. You and the other staffers and volunteers must feel so betrayed by this, especially just 5 weeks from the primary

Yeah we do. I can say that from talking to the others as well.

[KaiserDave]

Scott is speaking and he's barely denying it anymore.

So disappointing. Blagh.

Edit: Okay that's not true, he is denying any misconduct or abusive language on his part, but, said they had a light relationship.

[KaiserDave]

I'm just gonna step back and think things over.

I don't know what to think about this anymore, but the idea of campaigning to voters and trying to explain this away sounds awful. Why would I do that?

And do I even believe him? I don't know. What I do know is that I should step away.

[KaiserDave]

Kaiserdave, I get that you invested invaluable time and emotional capital in Stringer’s campaign, among other things, but isn’t this kind of exaggerating things.

the mantra here is that Politicians lie and be nasty, only to serve what will benefit them, which in most cases is measured and sustained by the ballot box. I’m not getting your emotions here.

I mean I get I’m being very pessimistic and blunt, but I seriously would like to know the deal here? Like, I cannot comprehend even in abstract what you’re going on about in this intensity, but I’d like too.

Well I had put faith and energy in this guy to be the next Mayor of my city, running against a conservadem and a technocrat. Hearing he’s possibly been a sexual assault perpetrator is fairly upsetting.

I’m not as cynical as you are.

Although I suppose I’m not that upset, just exhausted and disappointed.