Scott Walker would lose badly, because he's anti-union and caused all that trouble in Wisconsin. Regardless of the nominee, Hillary will win Michigan without much trouble.
Rick Snyder pushed right-to-work through in an overnight lame duck session after saying he didn't support it and was still re-elected.
But yeah, Hillary should be fine in Michigan. At worst African American dropoff could hurt her a bit, but it wouldn't be anywhere near enough to make it competitive. I'm sure we'll see it in the "toss up" column from all the pundits again though, even though it's about as much of a toss up as Georgia or Arizona would be.
On midterm turnout, Republicans can get away with anything. With presidential turnout, the union would be able to turnout a lot voters.
