New DailyKos/Research 2000 tracking poll
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Author Topic: New DailyKos/Research 2000 tracking poll  (Read 25671 times)
Brittain33
brittain33
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« Reply #75 on: September 17, 2008, 11:32:11 AM »
BTTT
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TheresNoMoney
Scoonie
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« Reply #76 on: September 18, 2008, 07:52:20 AM »
9/18/08

Obama   49%
McCain    43%
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Firefly
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E: -4.13, S: -7.83

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« Reply #77 on: September 19, 2008, 07:56:40 AM »
09/19/2008

Obama   49%
McCain   42%
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Brittain33
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« Reply #78 on: September 19, 2008, 08:06:08 AM »
Quote from: Firefly on September 19, 2008, 07:56:40 AM
09/19/2008

Obama   49%
McCain   42%

WTF ever. I'd love to believe it, but this balloon has floated out of the zone of plausibility for me.
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ChrisFromNJ
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« Reply #79 on: September 19, 2008, 08:39:49 AM »
Looks good to me. Smiley
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Rowan
RowanBrandon
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« Reply #80 on: September 19, 2008, 08:52:30 AM »
The internals are just downright hilarious.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #81 on: September 19, 2008, 09:15:37 AM »
For those who post on Daily Kos (I was banned many moons ago, soon after registering), you should tell them that they need to change the party ID numbers on this poll:

Dem 391/1100 = 35.55% Dem (36%)
GOP 278/1100 = 25.27% GOP (25%)
Ind 331/1100 = 30.09% Ind (30%)
Oth 100/1100 = 9.09% Oth (9%)
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Rowan
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« Reply #82 on: September 19, 2008, 09:18:51 AM »
And tell them to stop somehow finding all Palin haters in their polls. They actually have her as a -5 NET UNFAVORABLE.

They are a joke.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #83 on: September 19, 2008, 10:21:52 AM »
Quote from: RowanBrandon on September 19, 2008, 09:18:51 AM
And tell them to stop somehow finding all Palin haters in their polls.
lol
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #84 on: September 19, 2008, 12:51:15 PM »
What's with stickying this now ?
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Rowan
RowanBrandon
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« Reply #85 on: September 19, 2008, 12:52:44 PM »
It's stickied now because Obama has a 6 point lead in the poll now.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
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« Reply #86 on: September 19, 2008, 01:52:51 PM »
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« Reply #87 on: September 19, 2008, 02:32:11 PM »

Sarah Failan.

Boy, them Kossacks is clever.  In that special 4chan-ish Asperger way.
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Verily
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« Reply #88 on: September 20, 2008, 11:59:16 AM »
09/20/2008

Obama   50% (+1)
McCain   42% (nc)


I'd be interested to see what the numbers would look like reweighted to a 5-point partisan gap.
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« Reply #89 on: September 20, 2008, 12:16:49 PM »
Quote from: Verily on September 20, 2008, 11:59:16 AM
09/20/2008

Obama   50% (+1)
McCain   42% (nc)

Um.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #90 on: September 20, 2008, 12:20:02 PM »
Gallup got basically the same results. McCain is sinking. Maybe he shouldn't have picked Dan Quayle with a vagina for VP.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #91 on: September 20, 2008, 12:22:53 PM »
Quote from: Verily on September 20, 2008, 11:59:16 AM
09/20/2008

Obama   50% (+1)
McCain   42% (nc)


I'd be interested to see what the numbers would look like reweighted to a 5-point partisan gap.

Weighed to Rasmussen:
Obama 48.04%
McCain 44.80%
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Rowan
RowanBrandon
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« Reply #92 on: September 20, 2008, 05:21:31 PM »
Last nights sample Obama +7, is actually better for McCain than the previous two nights which were Obama +8. McCain has the momentum!
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Alcon
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« Reply #93 on: September 20, 2008, 05:37:21 PM »
Quote from: RowanBrandon on September 20, 2008, 05:21:31 PM
Last nights sample Obama +7, is actually better for McCain than the previous two nights which were Obama +8. McCain has the momentum!

You've piqued my curiosity:  Are you being serious? Tongue
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Meeker
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« Reply #94 on: September 20, 2008, 06:32:32 PM »
The actual raw numbers aren't the important part of a tracking poll - the significant information is the trend. This poll's trend is in line with Gallup, so I don't see why people aren't taking it more legitimately.
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Rowan
RowanBrandon
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« Reply #95 on: September 20, 2008, 07:16:51 PM »
Quote from: Alcon on September 20, 2008, 05:37:21 PM
Quote from: RowanBrandon on September 20, 2008, 05:21:31 PM
Last nights sample Obama +7, is actually better for McCain than the previous two nights which were Obama +8. McCain has the momentum!

You've piqued my curiosity:  Are you being serious? Tongue

Yes, the previous two nights were Obama 50%-McCain 42%. Last night was Obama 49%-McCain 42%. Clearly Obama's support is eroding!
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jfern
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« Reply #96 on: September 20, 2008, 07:19:29 PM »
Quote from: RowanBrandon on September 20, 2008, 07:16:51 PM
Quote from: Alcon on September 20, 2008, 05:37:21 PM
Quote from: RowanBrandon on September 20, 2008, 05:21:31 PM
Last nights sample Obama +7, is actually better for McCain than the previous two nights which were Obama +8. McCain has the momentum!

You've piqued my curiosity:  Are you being serious? Tongue

Yes, the previous two nights were Obama 50%-McCain 42%. Last night was Obama 49%-McCain 42%. Clearly Obama's support is eroding!

At least at the 5% confidence level.
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Rowan
RowanBrandon
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« Reply #97 on: September 21, 2008, 08:25:04 AM »
Sunday September 21, 2008
Obama 49%
McCain 42%

McCain has the momentum! Last nights sample was only Obama +6!
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #98 on: September 21, 2008, 09:55:35 AM »
Quote from: RowanBrandon on September 21, 2008, 08:25:04 AM
Sunday September 21, 2008
Obama 49%
McCain 42%

McCain has the momentum! Last nights sample was only Obama +6!

Erosion of the bump.  Still, looking at the internal dynamics of this thing, if McCain starts getting back above Obama +4, he'll probably start leading nationally again.  That would be my guess.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #99 on: September 22, 2008, 09:11:38 AM »
Am I going to have to bump this one???

Monday, September 22, 2008
Obama 49 (nc)
McCain 43 (+1)
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