ABC News/Washington Post National Poll: Clinton+4

[Erc]

Apologies if this was noted earlier in the thread...has anyone been able to find education / race crosstabs on this?

ABC was always good about posting a nice chart with earlier polls, but I can't seem to find one for this one.

[Erc]

If we change nothing at all for the non-white groups from 2012 (optimistic for Trump to say the least; the +24 among Hispanics in this poll for Clinton is obviously a downward statistical fluctuation), and match the margins for college and non-college whites in this poll, you would need to increase non-college white turnout by 30% in order to match the topline numbers (and/or decrease college white turnout accordingly).  There's no real evidence that that's happening.

On the flip side, if you increase Clinton's two-way support among Hispanics to 80% (in line with other polling) and don't futz with turnout in each demographic, this would correspond to a 10.5% win for Clinton (2012+NC+GA+AZ+NE-2), according to the 538 demographic calculator.