pops
katman46
Jr. Member
Posts: 770
Political Matrix
E: -7.00, S: 4.00
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« on: November 02, 2018, 12:16:28 AM » |
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« edited: November 02, 2018, 12:19:44 AM by katman46 »
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I'm 100% split as to how to take this poll. On one hand, it's an outlier and 2016 polls underestimated Johnson in New Mexico. On the other hand, in 2016 he polled at 24% in late October in New Mexico then suddenly collapsed in November. Not impossible to think he gets 9-12%.
EDIT: Nevermind, this is what I get for not checking. He actually polled at 24% in late September, and his best October poll showed him at 14%. So this could just be an outlier, or it could be a late collapse (but 7% as a result can probably be ruled out).
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