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« on: August 23, 2021, 01:31:00 AM » |
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I said that Sanders would not actually do worse in these types of counties than Clinton, trends are too strong. He simply wouldn't get the gains he'd need to beat WWC trends in swing states. Biden won it by 25 points, I don't think Sanders would have done 10 or more points worse. It's a similar story to the 2019 UK election, while the dynamics there were different, in heavily Remain seats the Labour margin over the Tories did not change much from 2017 (and was up a lot on 2015), Labour just needed to make gains there to make up for getting smashed in Leave seats.
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