National Tracking Poll Thread

[Niemeyerite]

the party id of the ras samples is D+3

http://washingtonexaminer.com/rasmussen-yes-dems-likely-have-2-4-point-advantage-in-november/article/2509409#.UGeycRj2Ez6

Skewed!

[Niemeyerite]

Yeeees

I have to post this somewhere, so here you have:

[Niemeyerite]

Tight race.

I know I'm late to the Gallup party, but I'm thinking that the 7-point margin will tighten up soon. I'm betting there are a couple of massive pro-Romney samples that will fall off soon. Probably in the next couple of days.

J.J. forgot to say that. Maybe there are two pro-Romney samples in Monday and Tuesday.

[Niemeyerite]

Umengus

Or are you saying that there is some right number and that this number is wrong and therefore the poll is wrong? And if so do you believe all pollsters should be weighting their polls like Rasmussen and if so what is the 'right' number?

that's it. Especially at national level where you know that you will not have a D+8 or R+8 election. And my guess for now is between D+0 and D+2

Exactly, that's YOUR guess. And you know nothing about US politics . When will you understand that polls call people randomly, and there are more democrats than republicans because many conservative (tea party) and moderate republicans (anti-tea party) consider themselves independents now?