Battleground maps

[This account no longer in use.]

Post your battleground maps here.

Here are some of mine:

Clinton vs. Trump:

Clinton vs. Cruz:

[Pyro]

You really think Georgia could be a tossup?

[This account no longer in use.]

You really think Georgia could be a tossup?

Against Trump? Absolutely.

[/]

I'd say Smith's maps are about as accurate as you can get.

[ElectionsGuy]

Clinton vs Trump competitive

Light blue being lean Trump and light red being lean Clinton. This map Clinton wins a majority even without any competitive states.

Clinton vs Cruz competitive

This is a modest Clinton advantage map.

[Virginiá]

I'd say Smith's maps are about as accurate as you can get.

I agree mostly, except that I think the Great Lakes states and Virginia aren't going to Cruz (so more than just Leans Democratic). They just aren't a fit for a guy like him.

[Orthogonian Society Treasurer]

Trump vs. Clinton:

Cruz vs. Clinton

[Ljube]

Trump vs. Clinton:

Cruz vs. Clinton

These are accurate maps.

[RR1997]

I disagree with the OP's first map. Trump is much more likely to lose Arizona than Georgia, Missouri and especially Indiana. Trump is actually a pretty good fit for Indiana.

In a Clinton vs Trump election, I'd rate North Carolina and Arizona as tossup states. I would rate Georgia, Missouri, and Indiana as lean Republican states.

[Doimper]

You really think Georgia could be a tossup?

Against Trump? Absolutely.

Wasn't there a poll released a little while ago showing Clinton up over ten percent vs. Trump in Georgia? I know head-to-head polling is next to useless at this point, but still.

Maybe they could even dust off Carter and have him creak around his state a little on her behalf.

[This account no longer in use.]

You really think Georgia could be a tossup?

Against Trump? Absolutely.

Wasn't there a poll released a little while ago showing Clinton up over ten percent vs. Trump in Georgia? I know head-to-head polling is next to useless at this point, but still.

Maybe they could even dust off Carter and have him creak around his state a little on her behalf.

Yes. Then again, there was also that fluke Utah poll.

[Young Conservative]

Clinton vs. Cruz:

246 - 206

[madelka]

Trump vs. Clinton:

Cruz vs. Clinton

Where did you Trump fetishists get the idea that Michigan would be in play with Trump?

[Xing]

Clinton vs. Trump

Clinton vs. Cruz (much less elastic)

[This account no longer in use.]

Might make a vs. Kasich map, and some Sanders maps.

[Virginiá]

Where did you Trump fetishists get the idea that Michigan would be in play with Trump?

I've been wondering this myself. I think it has to do with Trump's base consisting of white working class voters and the fact that pundits say his only real plausible path of victory has to run through the rust belt. However, just because he does well with a plurality of Republican-leaning white working class voters does not mean he has a chance in Michigan, or even other Great Lakes states for that matter. Trump has only gotten more unpopular and at this point I don't think it matters who he faces in November - He will not win, and will probably lose Michigan by a larger margin than McCain in 2008.

[Orthogonian Society Treasurer]

Where did you Trump fetishists get the idea that Michigan would be in play with Trump?

Michiganders soured on the GOP when the party made support for international free trade an article of faith. Trump, by rejecting orthodoxy on the trade issue, is the only candidate who can credibly make a play for the middle class in states like Michigan. This is not to suggest that he would win necessarily, just that the days of 54-44 Democratic blowouts would be finished.

[RINO Tom]

Where did you Trump fetishists get the idea that Michigan would be in play with Trump?

Michiganders soured on the GOP when the party made support for international free trade an article of faith. Trump, by rejecting orthodoxy on the trade issue, is the only candidate who can credibly make a play for the middle class in states like Michigan. This is not to suggest that he would win necessarily, just that the days of 54-44 Democratic blowouts would be finished.

How will that be relevant when either one of his possible Democratic opponents will be anti-trade protectionists?

[Orthogonian Society Treasurer]

Where did you Trump fetishists get the idea that Michigan would be in play with Trump?

Michiganders soured on the GOP when the party made support for international free trade an article of faith. Trump, by rejecting orthodoxy on the trade issue, is the only candidate who can credibly make a play for the middle class in states like Michigan. This is not to suggest that he would win necessarily, just that the days of 54-44 Democratic blowouts would be finished.

How will that be relevant when either one of his possible Democratic opponents will be anti-trade protectionists?

His opponent's husband signed NAFTA into law. The connection will be clear. If nominated, Trump will hammer that point home until he's blue (rather than orange) in the face.