Venezuela National Assembly Elections, Dec. 6 2015

[Bacon King]

First results are supposed to be out in seven minutes

[Bacon King]

reminder of what the opposition can do with different sized majorities: http://venezuelablog.tumblr.com/post/134693710504/what-could-venezuelas-opposition-do-with-a

[Bacon King]

from hashemite, watching livestream of election authority announcement

   PSUV 24 fptp + 22 lists = 46
   MUD 72 fptp + 27 lists = 99
The other are 'no adjudicable'

[Bacon King]

Maduro speaking, happily celebrating PSUV got 42% of the vote

[Bacon King]

Results here:

http://web-3.cne.gob.ve/resultado_asamblea2015/r/0/reg_000000.html

MUD landslide.

Holy **** MUD sweep of Caracas - only PSUV candidate elected is a single person from the regional list

and: one of the MUD candidates elected in the 5th Capitol District is named Stalin Gonzalez

[Bacon King]

edit- ninja'd by ag

Most of the results are up: http://web-3.cne.gob.ve/resultado_asamblea2015/r/0/reg_000000.html

MUD 107
PSUV 55
indigenous seats 3 (I don't know which parties are pro- or anti-PSUV)
still uncalled: 2

[Bacon King]

Oficial results are posted for 165 out of 167 seats, and opposition has, I believe, 109 of them (or 110 - I am not sure about the 3rd native representative). Just short of 2/3 it seems.

PARLINVE appears to be the official MUD indegenous list, who won all three indigenous seats

http://unidadvenezuela.org/2012/11/parlinve-es-la-tarjeta-indigena-de-la-unidad-en-sucre/
http://www.correodelcaroni.com/index.php/politica/item/39617-candidato-de-tawala-declina-a-favor-de-gladys-guaipo-para-la-diputacion-indigena

[Bacon King]

seats that are still out:

Amazonas at-large District
Aragua 3rd District

The former seat is almost guaranteed to be a MUD victory, because MUD won the district's list vote by five points

[Bacon King]

quick map of the list vote I made
(colors are in 5% increments)

[Bacon King]

so does anyone have info on the partisan breakdown among the victorious MUD candidates?

[Bacon King]

Municipality map (not mine)(click to embiggen)

[Bacon King]

More information on the legislator situation if anyone is curious:

• After the election, losers can file legal challenges to the results with the Electoral Chamber of the Supreme Tribunal of Justice
• The Court recieved challenges from five regions but rejected all of them except Amazonas
• Until the trial is over, four MP's can't swear in: the three elected from Amazonas (2 MUD, 1 PSUV), and the winner of the southern indigenous district (1 MUD), which includes Amazonas
• The legal complaint includes claims of vote-buying, voter fraud, and suspicion regarding the "unusually high number of blank votes" (Amazonas actually had a below average number of blank votes)
• The complaint was filed by the director of the Amazonas PSUV
• The national chairman of the PSUV campaign has published a recording wherein someone claiming to be Victoria Franchi (a close associate of the Amazonas Governor Guarulla) discusses a plot to pay people to take illiterates and the elderly to polling stations and "help them vote" for the right candidates
• In December, Franchi was detained by the notorious SEBIN but later released
  
• Franchi, Guarulla, and national MUD leaders claim the recording is fake and that this is just an attempt to prevent the supermajority from being seated
• MUD is threatening to seat the deputies anyway - not sure how that will go down

If the Court decides that fraud was present, then Amazonas must promptly have a revote. If that happens, then realistically only one seat might change hands. The indigenous seat will remain MUD and the list vote will keep a 1 MUD - 1 PSUV split. Only the at-large district seat would be seriously contested - the MUD candidate only won by 2,260 votes last month (a 3.5% lead)