Gallup Trump & Clinton favorability numbers megathread

[NOVA Green]

But why is Clinton doing so much worse now than a week or two ago. I don't really see what could have happened to change the race like that. Unless it is just her convention bounce finally fading away. Seems strange...

The emails were once again in the news. Everytime they pop up, she falls in the polls ...

And that's not a coincidence. The media wants a horse race. Whenever she starts to pull too far ahead, they spam more about the emails. It's like clockwork at this point.

The timing does seem to fit, although now it looks like the "scandal of the week" is more about a few thousand dollars of taxpayer money that would barely pay for a Clinton Foundation staffer for a month...

But....but...but.... but, the "Liberal Media" loves Clinton and is trying to stack the race for her....  isn't that the narrative that Trump apologists have been hammering for the past 7-8 months?

[Erich Maria Remarque]

But why is Clinton doing so much worse now than a week or two ago. I don't really see what could have happened to change the race like that. Unless it is just her convention bounce finally fading away. Seems strange...

The emails were once again in the news. Everytime they pop up, she falls in the polls ...

And that's not a coincidence. The media wants a horse race. Whenever she starts to pull too far ahead, they spam more about the emails. It's like clockwork at this point.

The timing does seem to fit, although now it looks like the "scandal of the week" is more about a few thousand dollars of taxpayer money that would barely pay for a Clinton Foundation staffer for a month...

But....but...but.... but, the "Liberal Media" loves Clinton and is trying to stack the race for her....  isn't that the narrative that Trump apologists have been hammering for the past 7-8 months?

Do you mean that media have being nicer towards Trump?

[NOVA Green]

But why is Clinton doing so much worse now than a week or two ago. I don't really see what could have happened to change the race like that. Unless it is just her convention bounce finally fading away. Seems strange...

The emails were once again in the news. Everytime they pop up, she falls in the polls ...

And that's not a coincidence. The media wants a horse race. Whenever she starts to pull too far ahead, they spam more about the emails. It's like clockwork at this point.

The timing does seem to fit, although now it looks like the "scandal of the week" is more about a few thousand dollars of taxpayer money that would barely pay for a Clinton Foundation staffer for a month...

But....but...but.... but, the "Liberal Media" loves Clinton and is trying to stack the race for her....  isn't that the narrative that Trump apologists have been hammering for the past 7-8 months?

Do you mean that media have being nicer towards Trump?

During the primaries absolutely 100%, not only in terms of total coverage that allowed the Trump campaign to win the primaries with the equivalent of over $1 Billion of free advertising, but also relatively little coverage of his actual policy plans, that are heavy on rhetoric and light on substance.

Arguably, Hillary had the worst media coverage of any candidate during the primary season, although one could make a case that MSNBC had a strong Hillary bias during the primaries, namely from several core anchors, as well as surrogates, etc...

Post-Primary/Pre-convention, Trump continued to receive significantly more media coverage than Clinton, although there was greater media scrutiny of Trump's actual policy positions than there had been during the primaries, and many media stories involving Clinton had more to do with how could she consolidate the Democratic Party base, of whom 46% supported Bernie in a two person primary battle.

Post-convention- Media starts to focus more heavily on Trump controversies (Khan, etc...) that were essentially self-inflicted wounds, and goes full-tilt on the Clinton "email controversies" and now "Clinton foundation controversies" that are mostly manufactured BS without any foundation in fact, other than in a worst-case scenario perhaps a lapse in judgement. Meanwhile the narrative in increasingly shifting into a typical "horse-race interpretation", which instead of talking about the actual policy implications of both candidates platforms, are feeding into the media spectacle, which courtesy of Mr Trump, of the 2016 General Election which is increasingly looking like an utterly sick joke.

[Erich Maria Remarque]

But why is Clinton doing so much worse now than a week or two ago. I don't really see what could have happened to change the race like that. Unless it is just her convention bounce finally fading away. Seems strange...

The emails were once again in the news. Everytime they pop up, she falls in the polls ...

And that's not a coincidence. The media wants a horse race. Whenever she starts to pull too far ahead, they spam more about the emails. It's like clockwork at this point.

The timing does seem to fit, although now it looks like the "scandal of the week" is more about a few thousand dollars of taxpayer money that would barely pay for a Clinton Foundation staffer for a month...

But....but...but.... but, the "Liberal Media" loves Clinton and is trying to stack the race for her....  isn't that the narrative that Trump apologists have been hammering for the past 7-8 months?

Do you mean that media have being nicer towards Trump?

During the primaries absolutely 100%, not only in terms of total coverage that allowed the Trump campaign to win the primaries with the equivalent of over $1 Billion of free advertising, but also relatively little coverage of his actual policy plans, that are heavy on rhetoric and light on substance.

Arguably, Hillary had the worst media coverage of any candidate during the primary season, although one could make a case that MSNBC had a strong Hillary bias during the primaries, namely from several core anchors, as well as surrogates, etc...

Post-Primary/Pre-convention, Trump continued to receive significantly more media coverage than Clinton, although there was greater media scrutiny of Trump's actual policy positions than there had been during the primaries, and many media stories involving Clinton had more to do with how could she consolidate the Democratic Party base, of whom 46% supported Bernie in a two person primary battle.

Post-convention- Media starts to focus more heavily on Trump controversies (Khan, etc...) that were essentially self-inflicted wounds, and goes full-tilt on the Clinton "email controversies" and now "Clinton foundation controversies" that are mostly manufactured BS without any foundation in fact, other than in a worst-case scenario perhaps a lapse in judgement. Meanwhile the narrative in increasingly shifting into a typical "horse-race interpretation", which instead of talking about the actual policy implications of both candidates platforms, are feeding into the media spectacle, which courtesy of Mr Trump, of the 2016 General Election which is increasingly looking like an utterly sick joke.

Amount of coverage, yes. But it was Trump who "forced" media by not being politically correct.

That media didn't cover his controversies under primaries? We have totally differnet perception.

But anyway. Even among Clinton's supporters 19% thinks that the media is biased towards Hillary vs 16% towards Trump. I mean, c'mon

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Good news, everyone!

It is probably noise, but great one!

After having 33/62 10 days in row, Trump's got now 34(+1)/61. It is his best result in last 30 days.

Meanwhile Hillary's got now 38/57(+1), her second worst result ever

Note, that they poll All Adults. In latest ABC poll there is a 5-6% difference towards Trump between Adults and RV. That means that Hillary would likely be more disliked than Trump among RV in Gallup


Gallup
ABC

[GeorgiaModerate]

Note, that they poll All Adults. In latest ABC poll there is a 5-6% difference towards Trump between Adults and RV. That means that Hillary would likely be more disliked than Trump among RV in Gallup

This may or may not be true.  Mixing data from different polls is not a sound practice.

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Note, that they poll All Adults. In latest ABC poll there is a 5-6% difference towards Trump between Adults and RV. That means that Hillary would likely be more disliked than Trump among RV in Gallup

This may or may not be true.  Mixing data from different polls is not a sound practice.

I know, but it is likely to be true, since All Adults includes for instance many non-USA-born Latinos with very low registration; those are ext remally negative towards Trump.

At least it is a tie.

[Erich Maria Remarque]

More evidence are comming!

Latest  IBD/TIPP Poll
http://www.investors.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/09/POSTING_Tables_Sep2016_Horserace_Registered_And-_Likely-Voters.pdf

Tie among RV/LV
Both have 40/59.

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[Enduro]

I'm surprised they're that high.

[KingSweden]

Still boggles the mind anybody would trust Trump to do anything.

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Still boggles the mind anybody would trust Trump to do anything.

Welcome to reality!

[Wells]

Still boggles the mind anybody would trust Trump to do anything.

Welcome to reality!

S***, how'd I end up in Little Big's fantasy world?

[Erich Maria Remarque]

From latest CNN, September 1-4

Among 886 RV, compared to July 29-31:
Trump 42(+7)/56(-5)
Clinton 41(-2)/57(+3)

Trump +1 (+9 compared to July 29-31)


Among 786 LV, first time:
Trump 45/54
Clinton 42/56

Trump +3

Should we have general favourability thread?

[Tender Branson]

Hillary reaches a new record-low on Gallup's daily tracking:

37-58 (down from about 43% during the DNC)

Trump is steady at a lower level:

33-63

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Seems like it have stabilized for now.

Trump   34/62
Clinton  38/57

Just 4% difference among All Adults

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Sept 3-10, 2016

Clinton have stabilized on 38/57.
Trump got 35/60, his highest since RNC.

Just 3% difference among All Adults

There is a Trump'ish bump at September 10. I wounder if it has something to do with Deplorables

http://www.gallup.com/poll/189299/presidential-election-2016-key-indicators.aspx

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Something did clearly happen Sep 10. And it might lag a little

Sep 5-12:

Trump  36/59 (his next best result ever)
Clinton 38/57 (her next worst result ever)


Among National Adults

http://www.gallup.com/poll/189299/presidential-election-2016-key-indicators.aspx

[Gass3268]

Clinton has seen a bump, Trump a decline

[Fusionmunster]

No wonder why LittleBigwhatever hasnt been updating this thread.

[‼realJohnEwards‼]

No wonder why LittleBigwhatever hasnt been updating this thread.

yeah... these are mid-August levels, and no convention bump to explain it. Trump's momentum has been dashed again

[dspNY]

Clinton has seen a bump, Trump a decline

We should see some polling returning Hillary to a clear lead soon because Gallup pretty much has the trend of the election perfect with their favorable ratings

[Erich Maria Remarque]

No wonder why LittleBigwhatever hasnt been updating this thread.

No wonder you hasn't been posting while I updated it

[Gass3268]

No wonder why LittleBigwhatever hasnt been updating this thread.

yeah... these are mid-August levels, and no convention bump to explain it. Trump's momentum has been dashed again

And almost all of those great Trump polls were taken when the approval ratings were the closest. Will be interesting to see what happens with polls taken over the weekend.

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Clinton has seen a bump, Trump a decline

We should see some polling returning Hillary to a clear lead soon because Gallup pretty much has the trend of the election perfect with their favorable ratings

Lol, no. According to them last week was pretty much stable. You have to look at the trends, not at the single days

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[dspNY]

I'm basically saying that Gallup is the best leading indicator of all the polls that follow (national and state)