North Carolina-Civatas/SurveyUSA Trump +4

[Classic Conservative]

I thought it was odd when the Clinton's weren't spending the most money in NC and spending more on defending states like OH and FL

[Classic Conservative]

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/760922001338933248

Civitas/SurveyUSA has Trump+4 in North Carolina, but black voters are woefully underrepresented (18%, shld be >=22)

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/760922404923244544

Poll is also too old, too male,. This is a sample off the voter file, which in NC has race/age/gender, so there's no excuse

Plus blacks support Trump 32%

Everyone go look at the NC voter file...

Black vote is at 22%, Civitas thinks it's 18%.
Female vote is 53%, Civitas thinks it's 50%.
Can't find any age statistics but 60% of the voting population being >50 seems too high.

I'm not gonna pull a StatesPoll but this poll is off in a lot of regards.

There needs to be a complete and total shutdown of Civitas polls until they figure out what is going on.

SurveyUSA interviewed 400 likely November voters from the entire state of North Carolina 07/31/16 through 08/02/16 using blended sample, mixed mode.

RV ≠ LV

This election is unique and the turnout might change a lot among different groups.

But still it is likely to be an outlier.

I will not use this poll. You can count on PPP getting a poll of North Carolina fairly soon, anyway. That will be worth the wait.

So you're only using polls you like now