North Carolina-Civatas/SurveyUSA Trump +4 (user search)

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2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls

North Carolina-Civatas/SurveyUSA Trump +4 (search mode)

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Topic: North Carolina-Civatas/SurveyUSA Trump +4 (Read 2954 times)

HillOfANight
Jr. Member

Posts: 1,459

« on: August 03, 2016, 02:41:29 PM »

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/760922001338933248

Civitas/SurveyUSA has Trump+4 in North Carolina, but black voters are woefully underrepresented (18%, shld be >=22)

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/760922404923244544

Poll is also too old, too male,. This is a sample off the voter file, which in NC has race/age/gender, so there's no excuse

Plus blacks support Trump 32%

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HillOfANight
Jr. Member

Posts: 1,459

« Reply #1 on: August 03, 2016, 03:17:39 PM »

https://twitter.com/daveweigel/status/760931696380219396

Dave Weigel noted that Obama won here in 2008 with 35% of whites. Hillary's at 38% here and the state has gotten less white in 8 years.

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