Luxembourg 2013

[Diouf]

It seems like Juncker might be ousted after all. DP, LSAP and Dei Greng will try to form a government and end more than thirty years of CSV rule. If Juncker will not become PM, I guess he could be an EPP candidate for one of the EU posts coming up in 2014.

http://www.lessentiel.lu/fr/news/dossier/elections_lux/story/DP-LSAP-et-Dei-Greng-feront-menage-a-trois-31442665

[minionofmidas]

The sky is falling!

[minionofmidas]

Under pure proportional, the Pirates and Communists would have gained seats in the South. Alas, I think there is a 4% threshold within the constituencies.

I think they're just using D'Hondt.

[Sir John Johns]

Note: Several municipalities have merged since 2009.

One of the big surprises to me is that Pirates are stronger in the northern and rural municipalities. Also, in Luxembourg City, they polled under their national score (2.69% against 2.94%).

PID is even more concentrated in rural North and appears to mostly relied on Jean Colombera's personal appeal (Colombera was a deputy from there and used to be a municipal councillor in Vichten, the town where PID won 11.18%).


In the news: one of the DP deputies has still resigned. Charles Goerens said he will not be part of a tripartite coalition governement and that he disagree with the way the three parties have announced that they will formed a coalition (without waiting the appointment of a formateur by the Grand Duke and without opening bargaining with the CSV). Apparently, Goerens was also pissed that outgoing foreign minister Jean Asselborn (LSAP) will keep his post, a post that Goerens wanted himself to be put in charge.

Also, a big loser seems to be Étienne Schmidt, the leader of the LSAP. All along the campaign he has said he would be the future prime minister. Now he had to give place to Xavier Bettel (DP) (who for his part had said few months ago he will remain as mayor of Luxembourg City) and will not not even be the deputy prime minister. This post will stay to Jean Asselborn.

[Zanas]

I fail to see why DP gets to be the major party in the coalition and gets the prime minister, even though they got less votes than LSAP. Well, I guess they must have said to LSAP that they could also go and coalise with CSV.

Also, a question for you nerds : what is the socialists' stronghold in the north-west, the only town they won out of the French border and its neighbouring three towns where they performed quite well, and what are its reasons ?

[Sir John Johns]

I fail to see why DP gets to be the major party in the coalition and gets the prime minister, even though they got less votes than LSAP. Well, I guess they must have said to LSAP that they could also go and coalise with CSV.

This. And also, because the DP is the only real winner of the elections. It increased its share of votes by 3.24% while the two governing parties lost ground. LSAP's result could be see as a rebuff as it was the responsible of the fall of the government and changed its leadership just before the election but still failed to gain extra seats.

Bettel also won more personal votes (32,064 against 19,669 in 2009) than Étienne Schneider (19,682; in 2009 the LSAP top candidate Jeannot Krecké won 25,589) or François Bausch (11,598; 17,510 in 2009), the Green leader. The three ran in the same constituency.

Also, a question for you nerds : what is the socialists' stronghold in the north-west, the only town they won out of the French border and its neighbouring three towns where they performed quite well, and what are its reasons ?

The town is Wiltz. There are floorcovering and cooper industries. Until the 1960s, it was also the seat of tanneries. Perhaps of some relevancy, in 1942 the workers of the tanneries goes into general strike (spreading later to all the country), protesting against the German occupying authorities' decision to draft young Luxembourgers into the Wehrmacht.

[Sir John Johns]

Swing map (swing as 2013 percentage of vote - 2009 percentage of vote).

Both CSV and ADR suffered heavy losses in the North. ADR's loses can be easily explained by the strong concurrence from PID (despite the fact that PID's platform is basically the opposite of ADR's one, notably on voting rights for foreigners or societal issues). ADR's worst loss is in Vichten (Colombera's town) with -9.9%. No idea why CSV does so badly in the North.

LSAP lose many votes in the industrial parts of the country: Differdange (-3.36%), Dudelange (-5.63%), Elsch-sur-Alzette (-2.69%), Colmar-Berg (Goodyear factory, -7.01%, LSAP's 5th worst loss), Steinfort (where Jean Asselborn was previously mayor, -6.45%, 8th worst loss), Bettembourg (-4.36%), Pétange (-3.21%). A possible explanation is the profile of Étienne Schneider who belong to the right wing of the LSAP and was basically portrayed as a social traitor by Déi Lénk.

Déi Gréng's best progression is in the town of Mamer (+1.65%). An European School had recently open here.

[Famous Mortimer]

It's being reported that LSAP leader Etienne Schneider is also gay. Is this true?

[MaxQue]

It's being reported that LSAP leader Etienne Schneider is also gay. Is this true?

Apparently, yes. So this was the gay famous gay agenda. The far-right was right.

[Јas]

Liberals to lead Luxembourg as coalition talks succeed - Reuters

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