I think this is an outlier. Why is Trump still going to Iowa if he's up 7 and trailing in lots of other places (I think he's ahead there but it's much closer, maybe 2-3 points)
If this poll said 2-3 then it wouldn't seem so off, but Trump up 7 with Biden only at 41% seems off. It's like they are closer to Trump's number but are way under counting Biden.
How I’m making this poll make sense: I believe Trump has a solid base in this state that gets him to 48%. I can see a close result where the undecideds here go overwhelmingly to Biden. If Trump does win Iowa by 7 points, then as in 2016, my gut and brain are not aligned with what’s really happening. Because I don’t believe it.