2020: The GOP at a Crossroads

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Prologue:
On November 8th the GOP's worst nightmare came true, Hillary Clinton won in an landslide. This time however the landslide win brought down many GOP Senators, and Representatives. The Party was at a true crossroads, some claimed that Trumps policies were winning policies and he lost on his rhetoric alone. While others wanted the GOP to go back to it's Conservative roots. A shrinking faction wanted the party to return to the Pre Goldwater days, feeling the only way to win was with more Centrist policies. While a small but growing faction wanted the party to become more libertarian.



Here is the 2016 Results

Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine 404 EV 56.8%
Donald Trump/Rick Perry 134EV 41.5%

Senate

New Senate Standing after 2016 Senate Elections
Democrats 56 (includes 2 Senators Caucusing with Democrats)
GOP 44
House of Representatives
Democrats 223 Seats
GOP 212 Seats

Governors
 

GOP 29
Democrats 20

[LLR]

Looks good so far

[Pragmatic Conservative]

 Prologue continued  

115th Congress (Leadership)
Speaker of the House: Nancy Pelosi
House Leader: Steny Hoyer
Majority Whip: Xavier Becerra
Minority House Leader: Kevin McCarthy
 Minority Whip: Steve Scalise
Majority Leader of the Senate Chuck Schumer
Assistant Majority Leader (Majority Whip): Elizabeth Warren
  Minority Leader in the Senate John Cornyn
Assistant Minority Leader (Minority Whip): Mike Crapo
Mitch McConnell announces his plan to retire from Senate Leadership January 2017 and retire from the Senate in December of 2017.

Cabinet (all Confirmed), Clinton chooses to keep many of the Current Cabinet on
Secretary of State: Harry Reid
Secretary of the Treasury: Patty Murray
Secretary of Defense: Ashton Carter
Attorney General: Jim Hood
Secretary of the Interior: Sally Jewell
Secretary of Agriculture: Tom Harkin
Secretary of Commerce Penny Pritzker
Secretary of Labor Thomas Perez
Secretary of Health and Human Services Sylvia Mathews Burwell
Secretary of Housing and Urban Development Julian Castro
Secretary of Transportation Anthony Foxx
Secretary of Energy Barbara Boxer
Secretary of Education Tammy Baldwin
Secretary of Veterans Affairs Kristin Beck
Secretary of Homeland Security Jeh Johnson

Loretta Lynch is appointed and Confirmed by the Senate to the Supreme Court.

2017 Gains and losses
2017 offered an excellent opportunity for the GOP to make major gains by holding on to the New Jersey Governorship, gain the Governorship and Senate seats in Virginia, Wisconsin, and Washington and possibly pull an upset in the NYC Mayoral Race.    

Governor-New Jersey

Primary GOP
Kim Guadagno 40%
Thomas Kean, Jr 38%
Randy Brown 22%

Democratic Primary
Richard Codey 35%
Ray Lesniak 32%
Philip D. Murphy 27%
Robert Russo 6%

General
Richard Codey 55%
Kim Guadagno 43%
Other 2%

Virginia- Governor

Democratic Primary
Ralph Northam 52%
Gerry Connolly 48%

GOP Primary
Ed Gillespie 60%
Corey Stewart 40%

General
Ed Gillespie 52%
Ralph Northam 45%
Other 3%

Virginia Senate  
Democratic Primary
Mark Herring (Incumbent)  acclaimed

GOP Primary
Eric Cantor 37%
Rob Wittman 35%
 Bill Bolling 18%
Pete Snyder 10%

General
Mark Herring 51%
Eric Cantor 48%
Other 1%

NYC Mayoral
Democratic Primary
Bill de Blasio 85%
Assorted minor candidates 15%

GOP Primary
Scott Stringer 55%
 Bo Dietl 30%
Michel Faulkner 10%
Assorted minor Candidates 5%

General
Scott Stringer 50%
Bill de Blasio 47%
Other 3%

Wisconsin Senate
Ron Johnson and  Mary Burke were both Acclaimed in their Primaries
General
Mary Burke R 55%
Ron Johnson D 43%
Other 2%

Washington Senate
Primary
Cathy McMorris Rodgers R 49%
Jim McIntire D 47%
Others 4%

General
Cathy McMorris Rodgers R 51%
Jim McIntire D 49%

(+1 GOP in the Senate, no change in Governorship's)
 

[Former Senator Haslam2020]

Prologue continued  

115th Congress (Leadership)
Speaker of the House: Nancy Pelosi
House Leader: Steny Hoyer
Majority Whip: Xavier Becerra
Minority House Leader: Kevin McCarthy
 Minority Whip: Steve Scalise
Majority Leader of the Senate Chuck Schumer
Assistant Majority Leader (Majority Whip): Elizabeth Warren
  Minority Leader in the Senate John Cornyn
Assistant Minority Leader (Minority Whip): Mike Crapo
Mitch McConnell announces his plan to retire from Senate Leadership January 2017 and retire from the Senate in December of 2017.

Cabinet (all Confirmed), Clinton chooses to keep many of the Current Cabinet on
Secretary of State: Harry Reid
Secretary of the Treasury: Patty Murray
Secretary of Defense: Ashton Carter
Attorney General: Jim Hood
Secretary of the Interior: Sally Jewell
Secretary of Agriculture: Tom Harkin
Secretary of Commerce Penny Pritzker
Secretary of Labor Thomas Perez
Secretary of Health and Human Services Sylvia Mathews Burwell
Secretary of Housing and Urban Development Julian Castro
Secretary of Transportation Anthony Foxx
Secretary of Energy Barbara Boxer
Secretary of Education Tammy Baldwin
Secretary of Veterans Affairs Kristin Beck
Secretary of Homeland Security Jeh Johnson

Loretta Lynch is appointed and Confirmed by the Senate to the Supreme Court.

2017 Gains and losses
2017 offered an excellent opportunity for the GOP to make major gains by holding on to the New Jersey Governorship, gain the Governorship and Senate seats in Virginia, Wisconsin, and Washington and possibly pull an upset in the NYC Mayoral Race.    

Governor-New Jersey

Primary GOP
Kim Guadagno 40%
Thomas Kean, Jr 38%
Randy Brown 22%

Democratic Primary
Richard Codey 35%
Ray Lesniak 32%
Philip D. Murphy 27%
Robert Russo 6%

General
Richard Codey 55%
Kim Guadagno 43%
Other 2%

Virginia- Governor

Democratic Primary
Ralph Northam 52%
Gerry Connolly 48%

GOP Primary
Ed Gillespie 60%
Corey Stewart 40%

General
Ed Gillespie 52%
Ralph Northam 45%
Other 3%

Virginia Senate  
Democratic Primary
Mark Herring (Incumbent)  acclaimed

GOP Primary
Eric Cantor 37%
Rob Wittman 35%
 Bill Bolling 18%
Pete Snyder 10%

General
Mark Herring 51%
Eric Cantor 48%
Other 1%

NYC Mayoral
Democratic Primary
Bill de Blasio 85%
Assorted minor candidates 15%

GOP Primary
Scott Stringer 55%
 Bo Dietl 30%
Michel Faulkner 10%
Assorted minor Candidates 5%

General
Scott Stringer 50%
Bill de Blasio 47%
Other 3%

Wisconsin Senate
Ron Johnson and  Mary Burke were both Acclaimed in their Primaries
General
Mary Burke R 55%
Ron Johnson D 43%
Other 2%

Washington Senate
Primary
Cathy McMorris Rodgers R 49%
Jim McIntire D 47%
Others 4%

General
Cathy McMorris Rodgers R 51%
Jim McIntire D 49%

(+1 GOP in the Senate, no change in Governorship's)
 

God help us, but gr8 tl!

[libertpaulian]

John Gregg won Indiana in your scenario.  Did the Dems pick up any seats in the statehouse?

[Pragmatic Conservative]

John Gregg won Indiana in your scenario.  Did the Dems pick up any seats in the statehouse?

Yes, Districts 4, 11, 12,19, and 84,

[Pragmatic Conservative]

(I will go through each state in alphabetical order with Senate and Governor elections, showing results) 
Prologue Continued
2018 Midterm Time

Alabama
Governor -Robert J. Bentley is term limited and can not run again

Republican Primary
Kay Ivey 40%
Roy Moore 39.9%
Bradley Byrne 14.1%
Mary Scott Hunter 6%

Democratic Primary
Craig Ford 57%
Pete Johnson 43%

General
Kay Ivey 57%
Craig Ford 40%
Other 3%
R-Hold

Alaska
Governor- Bill Walker runs again

Democratic Primary (Walker wins nomination, chooses to run as an independent) 
Bill Walker 80%
Other  20%

Republican Primary
Dan Sullivan 58% (former Anchorage Mayor)
Russ Millette 42%

General
Bill Walker 51%
Dan Sullivan 45%
Other 4%
I-Hold

Arizona

Senate-Jeff Flake running for Re-Election
Republican Primary
Jeff Flake 55%
Joe Arpaio 45%

Democratic Primary
Phil Gordon 72%
Other 28%

General
Jeff Flake 50%
Phil Gordon 47%
Other 3%
R-Hold

Governor-Doug Ducey running for Re-Election

Republican Primary
Doug Ducey 88%
Other 12%

Democratic Primary
 Richard Carmona 90%
Other  10%

General
Doug Ducey 49%
Richard Carmona 48%
Other 3%
R-Hold 

Arkansas

Governor-Asa Hutchinson running for Re-Election
Republican Primary
Asa Hutchinson 82%
Other  18%

 Democratic Primary
Darrin Williams 53%
Pat Hays 44%
Other  3%

General
Asa Hutchinson 55%
Darrin Williams 43%
Other 2%
R-Hold

California

Senate-Dianne Feinstein Running For Re-Election
Primary
Dianne Feinstein 55%
Kevin McCarthy 25%
Duf Sundheim 15%
Other 5%

General
Kevin McCarthy 51%
Dianne Feinstein 49%
R-Gain

Governor-Jerry Brown Term limited
Primary
Kevin Faulconer R 25%
Carly Fiorina R 18%
 John Chiang D 15%
Gavin Newsom D 15%
Eric Garcetti D 13%
Alex Padilla D 10%
Other 4%

General
Kevin Faulconer 55%
Carly Fiorina 45%
R-Gain

More States are coming

[Kingpoleon]

Hey, listen. I like the idea of your timeline, but you kind of need an editor. For example, Fiorina won 42% against Feinstein. How would Faulconer not swamp her with like 65%+ of the vote?

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Midterm Results Continued
Colorado
Governor- John Hickenlooper Term limited

Democratic Primary
Joseph García 60%
Michael Hancock 40%

Republican Primary
Cory Gardner 50%
Tom Tancredo 30%
Scott Gessler 20%

General
Cory Gardner50%
Joseph García 45%
Other 5%
R-Gain

Connecticut- Dannel Malloy Declines to run for Re-Election

Democratic Primary
  George Jepsen 55%
Nancy Wyman 43%
Other 2%

Republican Primary
Joe Scarborough 35%
Themis Klarides, 33%
Thomas C. Foley 32%

General
George Jepsen 53%
Joe Scarborough 45%
Other 2%
D-Hold

Senate- Chris Murphy Runs for Re-Election

Democratic Primary
Chris Murphy 89%
Other 11%

Republican Primary
 Linda McMahon  83%
Other 17%

General
Chris Murphy 60%
Linda McMahon   38%
Other 2%
D-Hold

Delaware
Senate-Tom Carper Running for Re-Election

Democratic Primary
Tom Carper Acclaimed

Republican Primary
Jeff Cragg 88%
Other 12%

General
Tom Carper 68%
Jeff Cragg 30%
Other 2%
D-Hold

Florida
Senate-Bill Nelson Runs For Re-Election

Democratic Primary
Bill Nelson 65%
Alan Grayson 35%

Republican Primary
Allen West 35%
Allan Bense 30%
Vern Buchanan 28%
Other 7%

General
Bill Nelson 54%
Allen West 44%
Other 2%
D-Hold

Governor-Rick Scott Term Limited

Republican Primary
 Marco Rubio 57%
Will Weatherford 41%
Other 2%

Democratic Primary
Bob Buckhorn 58%
Gwen Graham 39%
Other 3%

General
Bob Buckhorn 51%
Marco Rubio 48%
Other 1%
D-Gain

Georgia
Governor- Nathan Deal Term Limited

Republican Primary
Casey Cagle 47%
Austin Scott 45%
Other 7%

Runoff
Casey Cagle 52%
Austin Scott 48%
Democratic Primary
Kasim Reed 82%
Other 18%

General
Casey Cagle 49%
Kasim Reed 47%
Other 4%

Runoff
Casey Cagle 51%
Kasim Reed 49%
R-Hold

[Heisenberg]

Hey, listen. I like the idea of your timeline, but you kind of need an editor. For example, Fiorina won 42% against Feinstein. How would Faulconer not swamp her with like 65%+ of the vote?

Very interesting races so far. I see Arizona is trending Democratic in this timeline, and a Republicans, for once, did well in California. I agree, in a Fiorina-Falconer runoff, Falconer would easily win. Nearly all Democrats would certainly view him as the lesser of two evils. He's popular in his home city of San Diego, where he runs and rules as a moderate Republican, and even appears at LGBT pride events. Fiorina, who is way more conservative, would easily get crushed (especially after being chosen as Cruz's running mate). Also, how did McCarthy win? Did the R vs. R governor runoff drop Democratic turnout? Did Feinstein make a gaffe or have her popularity nosedive? I also wonder what will become of California's top-two system later on in this TL. Also, no way Putnam is not elected governor in Florida. I also think Bill Nelson retires for health reasons. But, it's not my timeline, and I guess some distance from reality is good. Great job, by the way!

[Maxwell]

lol wut Senator Kevin McCarthy.

For the record I like the timeline, I just kind of had a brain hiccup over that pick.

[Heisenberg]

lol wut Senator Kevin McCarthy.

For the record I like the timeline, I just kind of had a brain hiccup over that pick.

I know, that made no sense, I can't see him running for a multitude of reasons. But it's not my timeline, he can write whatever he wants.

[Kingpoleon]

lol wut Senator Kevin McCarthy.

For the record I like the timeline, I just kind of had a brain hiccup over that pick.

Yeah, a few results seem... Interesting, as does about half of the Cabinet, IMO.

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Hey, listen. I like the idea of your timeline, but you kind of need an editor. For example, Fiorina won 42% against Feinstein. How would Faulconer not swamp her with like 65%+ of the vote?

Very interesting races so far. I see Arizona is trending Democratic in this timeline, and a Republicans, for once, did well in California. I agree, in a Fiorina-Falconer runoff, Falconer would easily win. Nearly all Democrats would certainly view him as the lesser of two evils. He's popular in his home city of San Diego, where he runs and rules as a moderate Republican, and even appears at LGBT pride events. Fiorina, who is way more conservative, would easily get crushed (especially after being chosen as Cruz's running mate). Also, how did McCarthy win? Did the R vs. R governor runoff drop Democratic turnout? Did Feinstein make a gaffe or have her popularity nosedive? I also wonder what will become of California's top-two system later on in this TL. Also, no way Putnam is not elected governor in Florida. I also think Bill Nelson retires for health reasons. But, it's not my timeline, and I guess some distance from reality is good. Great job, by the way!

As for the Califirnia Senate race, McCarthy got assisted by low turnout from Democrats, as well as a great campaign versus a poor campaign  from Feinstein (where she commits some gaffes). As for the Govrenors race I agree I should have gone with the original margin I had in mind which was 60-40 Falconer.  Thanks for enjoying it so far.

[Maxwell]

lol wut Senator Kevin McCarthy.

For the record I like the timeline, I just kind of had a brain hiccup over that pick.

I know, that made no sense, I can't see him running for a multitude of reasons. But it's not my timeline, he can write whatever he wants.

Absolutely. I've written ridiculous scenarios before as well.

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

lol wut Senator Kevin McCarthy.

For the record I like the timeline, I just kind of had a brain hiccup over that pick.

I know, that made no sense, I can't see him running for a multitude of reasons. But it's not my timeline, he can write whatever he wants.

Absolutely. I've written ridiculous scenarios before as well.

To be quite honest, I figured this was going to be somewhat odd when I saw the Democrats taking SC.

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Midterm Results Continued

Hawaii
Senate-Mazie Hirono running for Re-Election

Democratic Primary
Mazie Hirono Acclaimed

Republican Primary
 Charles Djou  89%
Other 11%

General
Mazie Hirono 68%
Charles Djou  32%
D-Hold

Governor- David Ige running for Re-Election

Democratic Primary
David Ige 93%
Other 7%

Republican Primary
David Chang 79%
Other 21%

General
David Ige 60%
David Chang 35%
Other 5%
D-Hold

Idaho
Governor- Butch Otter Retiring

Republican Primary
Lawrence Wasden 55%
Brad Little 43%
Other 2%

Democratic Primary
David H. Bieter 80%
Other 20%

General
Lawrence Wasden 55%
David H. Bieter 43%
Other 3%
R-Hold

Illinois
Governor- Bruce Rauner Running for Re-Election

Republican Primary
Bruce Rauner 88%
Other 12%

Democratic Primary
Dick Durbin 92%
Other 8%

General
Dick Durbin 53%
Bruce Rauner 45%
Other 2%
D-Gain

Iowa
Governor- Terry Branstad Retiring

Republican Primary
Kim Reynolds Acclaimed

Democratic Primary
Michael Fitzgerald 50%
Jeff Danielson 43%
Other 7%

General
Kim Reynolds 56%
Michael Fitzgerald 41%
Other 3%
R-Hold

Indiana
Senate-Joe Donnelly running for Re-Election

Democratic Primary
Joe Donnelly Acclaimed

Republican Primary
Greg Ballard 58%
Mike Delph 42%

General
 Greg Ballard 53%
Joe Donnelly 46%
Other 1%
R-Gain

[President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️]

Iowa
Governor- Terry Branstad Retiring

Republican Primary
 Chuck Grassley Acclaimed

Democratic Primary
Michael Fitzgerald 50%
Jeff Danielson 43%
Other 7%

General
Chuck Grassley 56%
Michael Fitzgerald 41%
Other 3%
R-Hold

Grassley will kind of be 85 at that point. His grandson, Pat, would be more likely.

[Heisenberg]

Iowa
Governor- Terry Branstad Retiring

Republican Primary
 Chuck Grassley Acclaimed

Democratic Primary
Michael Fitzgerald 50%
Jeff Danielson 43%
Other 7%

General
Chuck Grassley 56%
Michael Fitzgerald 41%
Other 3%
R-Hold

Grassley will kind of be 85 at that point. His grandson, Pat, would be more likely.

I see Grassley finishing his term, then retiring from politics altogether. Kim Reynolds will probably succeed Branstad as governor. Maybe Pat Grassley goes for Lieutenant Governor?

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Iowa
Governor- Terry Branstad Retiring

Republican Primary
 Chuck Grassley Acclaimed

Democratic Primary
Michael Fitzgerald 50%
Jeff Danielson 43%
Other 7%

General
Chuck Grassley 56%
Michael Fitzgerald 41%
Other 3%
R-Hold

Grassley will kind of be 85 at that point. His grandson, Pat, would be more likely.

I see Grassley finishing his term, then retiring from politics altogether. Kim Reynolds will probably succeed Branstad as governor. Maybe Pat Grassley goes for Lieutenant Governor?

I will change Grassley with Kim Reynolds. Thanks for the feedback.

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Would their be someone that would be interested in helping make some county maps for some of the close races?

Midterm Results Continued
Kansas
Governor- Sam Brownback Term Limited
Republican Primary
 Steve Morris 55%
 Kris Kobach 45%

Democratic Primary
Joshua Svaty 60% (Dropped out on September 1st endorsed Greg Orman)
Jill Docking 40%

General
Greg Orman 51%
Steve Morris 48%
Other 1%
I-Gain

Main
Senate- Angus King running for Re-Election as a Democrat

Democrat
Angus King 62%
Matthew Dunlap 38%

Republican
Paul LePage 64%
Steve Abbott 36%

General
Angus King 50%
Paul LePage 44%
Other 6%
D-Nominal Gain

Governor-Paul LePage term limited

Republican Primary
 Bruce Poliquin 51%
Michael Thibodeau 49%

Democratic Primary
Mark Eves 54%
Chellie Pingree 46%

General
Mark Eves 52%
Bruce Poliquin 45%
Other 3%

Maryland
Senate-Ben Cardin Retiring

Democratic Primary
Elijah Cummings  57%
 Martin O'Malley 43%

Republican Primary
Michael Steele 55%
Barry Glassman 45%

General
Elijah Cummings 58%
Michael Steele 40%
Other 2%
D-Hold

Governor-Larry Hogan running for Re-Election

Republican Primary  
Larry Hogan Acclaimed

Democratic Primary
Tom Perez 89%
Other 11%

General
Larry Hogan 52%
Tom Perez 47%
Other 1%
R-Hold

Massachusetts
Senate-Elizabeth Warren running for Re-Election

Democratic Primary
Elizabeth Warren Acclaimed

Republican Primary
Gabriel E. Gomez 88%
Other 12%

General
Elizabeth Warren 55%
Gabriel E. Gomez 42%
Other 3%
D-Hold

Governor- Charlie Baker Running for re-election
Republican Primary
Charlie Baker 91%
Other 9%

Democratic Primary
 Maura Healey 51%
Marty Walsh 49%

General
Charlie Baker 53%
Maura Healey 44%
Other 3%
R-Hold

Michigan
Senate-Debbie Stabenow running for re-election

Democratic Primary
Debbie Stabenow Acclaimed

Republican Primary
Saul Anuzis 54%
Candice Miller 46%

General
Debbie Stabenow 55%
Saul Anuzis 43%
Other 2%
D-Hold

Governor- Rick Snyder Term limited
Republican Primary
Justin Amash 53%
Brian Calley 47%

Democratic Primary
Debbie Dingell 45%
Gretchen Whitmer 40%
Mark Hackel 15%

General
Justin Amash 51%
Debbie Dingell 47%
Other 1%
R-Hold

[Pragmatic Conservative]

As the midterms are just part of the prologue to save time I will just finish the Midterms with a map, and below  I will list the winners for both the senate and Governor races.

Senate

Minnesota Amy Klobuchar over Julie Rosen 55-43
Mississippi Roger Wicker over Brandon Presley 53-45
Missouri Peter Kinder over Claire McCaskill 52-47
Montana Jon Tester over Denny Rehberg 49-47
Nebraska Deb Fischer over Steve Lathrop 57-40
Nevada (Dean Heller retiring) Brian Sandoval over Dina Titus 51-46
New Jersey (Bob Menendez retiring) Ray Lesniak over Chris Christie 55-43
New Mexico Susana Martinez over  Martin Heinrich 50-48
New York Kirsten Gillibrand over George Maragos 67-30
North Dakota Wayne Stenehjem over Heidi Heitkamp 52-47
Ohio Sherrod Brown over Rob Portman 50-48
Pennsylvania Bob Casey, Jr. over Mike Turzai 51-49
Rhode Island Sheldon Whitehouse ran unopposed
Tennessee Bob Corker over Park Overall 59-39
Texas Ted Cruz over Julian Castro 57-40
Utah (Orrin Hatch retiring) Jon Huntsman, Jr. over Scott Howell 64-33
Vermont (Bernie Sanders retiring) Peter Shumlin over Phil Scott 57-40
Virginia Ed Gillespie over Mark Herring 51-48
Washington Maria Cantwell over Bill Bryant 56-44
West Virginia Joe Manchin over Bill Cole 52-45
Wisconsin Mary Burke over Mark Andrew Green 54-44
Wyoming John Barrasso over William Bryk 69-31


Senate Standings
GOP 51 (+6)
Democrats 49 (-6)

House Standings
GOP 237 Seats (+25)
Democrats 198 Seats(-25)

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Governors

Minnesota Mark Dayton over Steve Sviggum 54-40
Nebraska Pete Ricketts over Chris Beutler 57-41
Nevada Joe Heck over Ross Miller 50-48
New Hampshire Colin Van Ostern over Chuck Morse 51-47
New Mexico Gary King over John Sanchez 52-46
New York Andrew Cuomo over Carl Paladino 55-40
Ohio Mike DeWine over Tim Ryan 51-47
Oklahoma Mary Fallin over M. Susan Savage 54-45
Oregon Kate Brown over Dennis Richardson 52-46
Pennsylvania (Tom Wolf Retiring) Mike Stack over Jim Cawley 53-46
Rhode Island Gina Raimondo over John Robitaille 40-35
South Carolina Henry McMaster over Gerald Malloy 56-43
South Dakota Matt Michels over Mike Huether 58-40
Tennessee Beth Harwell over Andy Berke 57-42
Texas Greg Abbott over Mike Villarreal 56-42
Vermont Sue Minter over Randy Brock 50-41
Wisconsin Chris Larson over Scott Walker 51-48
Wyoming Ed Murray over Pete Gosar 57-40

Governor Standings
Republicans 25 Governorship's
Democrats 23 Governorship's
Independent 2 Governorship's  

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Congressional Leadership January 2018
Speaker of the House: Paul Ryan
House Leader:Steve Scalise
Majority Whip: Patrick McHenry
Minority House Leader: Steny Hoyer
 Minority Whip: Xavier Becerra


Majority Leader of the Senate John Cornyn
Assistant Majority Leader (Majority Whip): Mike Crapo
  Minority Leader in the Senate Chuck Schumer
Assistant Minority Leader (Minority Whip): Elizabeth Warren



Special Senate Elections and Initial Betting Markets

Here are Special Election Results or Who is appointed to these seats, for seats that became vacant from 2016-2018

Kentucky-Mitch McConnell resigns his Senate seat officially on December 31st 2017, Thomas Massie appointed to USA Senate on January 3rd 2018.

Special Election November 6th 2018:
Thomas Massie defeats Greg Fischer 55-43
R-Hold

Colorado-Cory Gardner leaves the seat vacant upon election to Governor of Colorado, Cynthia Coffman appointed to USA Senate. Special Election scheduled for November of 2019.


Illinois-Dick Durbin leaves the seat vacant upon election to Governor of Illinois, Lisa Madigan appointed to USA Senate. Special Election scheduled for November of 2019.

Betting Markets

Democratic nomination
Hillary Clinton 85
Elizabeth Warren 7
Other 8

GOP nomination
Tom Cotton 32
Ben Sasse 22
Rand Paul 17
Tim Scott 10
Nikki Haley 8
other 11

Winning Individual
Hillary Clinton 55
Republican Nominee 44
Other 1

I will post some background info on major legislation next as well as  Candidate Campaign Kickoff speeches . Any questions or  comments are welcome.

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Major Legislation Passed and Court Cases from 2016-2019
-On February 20th 2017 Clinton signed into law a bill mandating universal background checks on all gun purchases as well as a ban on purchasing guns for anyone on the terror watch list. 
-A revised version of the Dream Act was signed into law by Clinton on March 30th 2017
-On September 17th 2017 the Federal Budget was signed by Clinton, it had a slight tax increases for those making more then $250,000 a year, lowered income tax by 1% for those making less then $50,000 a year. The Budget also increased the Federal minimum wage to $12.50  by December 31st 2018 and $15 by December 31st 2019.
-On March 3rd 2018 The fourth Circuit Court struck down South Carolina's 20 week Abortion Ban.
-June 10th-The 8th Circuit upholds Arkansas 20 week Abortion Ban. 
-June 15th The 7th Circuit upholds Wisconsin's right to work law.
-On August 5th the USA Supreme Court agrees to here an appeal to the fourth Circuit courts decision regarding the 20 week abortion ban.
-On September 25th Clinton signs the federal budget into law, the budget institutes $1,000 for every student that attends University and families household income is below $50,000.
-November 19th 2018, the 4th Circuit Court strikes down Virginia's right to work law.