North Carolina, but worth noting that Virginia will have a D trifecta eight months from now.
Yes coz Democrats can't win a double digit clinton district.
Christ. I have Woody on ignore so I didn't see this post until now but it's good to see he's the same as always.
It would be nice if the R-homer posters on this site actually provided some sort of evidence for their claims that every state will either continue to trend R or reverse rapid-D trends.
There's zero evidence that 2017 or even 2015 was the Democratic ceiling. The claim about the 2015 being the ceiling is so egregiously bad because the state lurched several points leftward since Trump got elected (gov swing was 5-6 points left between 2013 and 2017) and there are several R Senate incumbents, elected under Obama, representing double digit Hillary districts, who haven't faced reelection in the Trump era. Like three quarters of HoD Republicans matching that profile in 2017 got BTFO. Absolutely no reason to see these incumbents holding on in 2019.
The 2017 HoD claim is also ridiculous. Republicans got the 51st House seat literally by a name being drawn out of a hat. Besides now that Ds won't have to sink money into winning districts they should have won five years ago they'll have plenty of resources devoted to flipping to remaining seats in they came close to flipping but lost (there are two of these in Va Beach/Chesterfield alone). Because Ds haven't controlled the chamber there is no controversial legislation they passed for Rs to mobilize around. A couple of Rs in Tidewater and Richmond-based districts retired as well so those seats will be even easier to pick up. The highest profile thing to be enacted was an immensely popular Medicaid expansion.
So yeah VA Trifecta is effectively guaranteed in 2019.
Poll
