turfmoor
Rookie
Posts: 17
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« on: March 11, 2021, 04:02:28 PM » |
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Presidency: Not amazing, I thought Biden was the favourite in Florida + NC, Iowa was a solid tossup (lol) and Georgia wasn’t there yet. In the end my pre-pandemic prediction of the Rust Belt three and Arizona ended up being closer to the end result but I trusted in the polls too much. D at best.
Senate: I was driving the struggle bus here as well. I was confidently wrong about Maine, NC and both Georgia races, and I thought Iowa and Montana would be much closer (although still R wins). I never bought into Kentucky, SC, Texas, Kansas or Alabama going Democrat and I got the 50/50 composition right so a low C.
House: Mixed. I thought given the house vote polls averaged around D+6 it was unlikely the Dems would gain much that they couldn’t in 2018. At the same time, I thought incumbency would carry over most of the vulnerable Dems, apart from Rose, Horn and Peterson. Ultimately I thought the potential pickups would mean a slight net Dem gain, so in the end a low C.
Overall, I overestimated the Democrats everywhere but Georgia so a D.
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