A lot of dead cat bounces I'm sure
Dead cat bounce implies that the inner cities have been trending D and this election was an aberration.
The inner cities have been trending R over the last few cycles and probably will continue to do so in the future. A few factors have been causing this and will continue to cause it. The first, that AGA already mentioned, is education becoming a predictor in one's voting patterns. The GOP gains with non-college educated voters will help them with the non-college educated non-White voters in the inner city.
Another pattern is the weakening power of the Black church. Black churchgoers are more Democratic than their non-churchgoing counterparts, and as the Black electorate becomes less religious, the D percentage will go down.
These effects are quite small, but they might make the Black vote go from 95% Dem to 85% Dem long term. It's been an extraordinary feat of political organization for Black voters to have been so uniformly Dem, and it's something that can't last forever. Like just how ridiculous Dem performance has been with Black voters is not appreciated. And then you had Obama getting 98% in 2008, even crazier.
I would say Black churchgoers are more likely to go out to vote, but not sure if they vote more D than average Black. Churchgoers trend R in general.
