Red Tory Indy
Rookie
Posts: 22
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« on: April 09, 2018, 09:42:59 AM » |
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1. In a year with not a lot of great pickup opportunities for Democrats your naturally going to see Dems focus more energy on long shot pickup opportunities then they normally would. Hence the unusually great Dem fundraising
2.Ted Cruz is fairly conservative even somewhat for Texas which makes him more vulnerable then your typical Republican.
3. Democrats have a fair amount of untapped potential in Texas if they can get significantly better turnout with Hispanic and Millennial voters who have significantly lower turnout then older Anglo voters. Also with Trumps unpopularity and strong dem enthusiasm their is a better chance of point number three happening.
Democrats still have a very uphill climb even in a dem wave year though and I would expect Cruz to win by 8–10 points in 2018.
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