If Texas flips it may set of a beginning of a totally new realignment of the map (user search)
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  If Texas flips it may set of a beginning of a totally new realignment of the map (search mode)
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Author Topic: If Texas flips it may set of a beginning of a totally new realignment of the map  (Read 4918 times)
MarkD
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,229
United States


« on: August 11, 2019, 01:08:48 AM »

But if Texas flips in 2020, which I think it will, that might not be a portend of future election results. It could very well just be that Trump has been a bad president who doesn't deserve a second term. By 2024 if a normal Republican gets nominated then maybe Texas will revert to form.

And on a different note, ...
Alternatively, there might be a bipartisan cause to end the electoral college.

Let's f**king hope!

Me too.
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MarkD
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,229
United States


« Reply #1 on: August 22, 2019, 01:31:54 AM »


snip

To reiterate, Republicans depend on winning the white vote by inflated margins to offset the minority vote in Texas, Georgia etc. Republican's margin with white voters come from silents and baby boomers. As they die off and as millennial whites age into peak voting years, the GOP margins with white voters will recess towards the national average and that is not enough to sustain GOP majorities or even pluralities in TX and GA.



This assumes that virtually no Gen X-ers or Gen Y-ers will be getting any more conservative as they age. In other words, for most people, once you choose and ideology and a party affiliation, they never change. Not a good assumption to make.
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