MetroNews - WV - Trump +18 (4-way)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
May 19, 2024, 04:53:06 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  MetroNews - WV - Trump +18 (4-way)		 « previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: MetroNews - WV - Trump +18 (4-way)  (Read 1404 times)
Seriously?
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,029
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: September 01, 2016, 09:48:54 AM »
« edited: September 01, 2016, 09:56:34 AM by Seriously? »
Trump 49%
Clinton 31%
Johnson 10%
Stein 4%
Undecided 6%

386 LV; August 8-29; MOE +/- 4.7%

Source: http://wvmetronews.com/2016/09/01/metronews-west-virginia-poll-trump-still-the-choice-of-mountain-state-voters/
Logged
Devout Centrist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,133
United States


Political Matrix
E: -99.99, S: -99.99

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: September 01, 2016, 09:49:46 AM »
Just +18?

Junk.
Logged
100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
Moderators
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,773


Political Matrix
E: 7.35, S: 5.57


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: September 01, 2016, 09:50:17 AM »
I was hoping he would be up 30-40, but polls often do underestimate margins in ultra-safe states.
Logged
dspNY
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,929
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: September 01, 2016, 10:03:59 AM »
That's way better for Clinton than I thought. Matches all the polls that show PA as likely D
Logged
Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,646
Sweden


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: September 01, 2016, 10:06:53 AM »
Quote from: dspNY on September 01, 2016, 10:03:59 AM
That's way better for Clinton than I thought. Matches all the polls that show PA as likely D
That poll is not junk, right?
Logged
Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,646
Sweden


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: September 01, 2016, 10:09:07 AM »
Seriously, guys, start to pay attention to 538 forecast.

How would race look in WV after all good news for Trump according to their model right now?
Trump +17.6% Smiley

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/west-virginia/
Logged
windjammer
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,518
France


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: September 01, 2016, 10:09:32 AM »
THEY DIDN'T POLL THE GOV RACE? SERIOUSLY ?
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,230
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: September 01, 2016, 10:19:52 AM »
#TrumpUnder50!!!1!1!1!!
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,299
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: September 01, 2016, 10:43:57 AM »
Polls often underestimate the margins in safe states. Add 10 points or so to Trump and it looks about right.
Logged
Obama-Biden Democrat
Zyzz
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,825


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: September 01, 2016, 03:41:48 PM »
West Virginia is always much more willing to vote for the White kind of Democrat.
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: September 01, 2016, 04:14:13 PM »

West Virginia polls tend to over-poll Democrats.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: September 02, 2016, 12:07:56 AM »
« Edited: September 02, 2016, 12:13:06 AM by IceSpear »
JUNK POLL!

Trump will win by at least 25 points, probably 30+.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: September 02, 2016, 12:08:43 AM »
« Edited: September 02, 2016, 12:10:34 AM by IceSpear »
Quote from: TN volunteer on September 01, 2016, 10:06:27 AM
Joe Manchin has a 50 percent approval rating, 31 percent disapprove with 19 percent of those polled not sure.

Looks like IceSpear has some explaining to do...

I would if the presidential results even remotely resembled reality. Luckily, that won't be necessary. Smiley

Quote from: dspNY on September 01, 2016, 10:03:59 AM
That's way better for Clinton than I thought. Matches all the polls that show PA as likely D

Ugh. WV and PA are not remotely correlated.
Logged
LLR
LongLiveRock
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,956


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: September 02, 2016, 08:38:10 AM »
i mean, Trump under 50 with low undecideds means something, but MetroNews is junky, so I don't know what that something is. Also, Johnson at 10? Seriously?
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.216 seconds with 11 queries.