NJ Elections : Poll - Dems have edge going into election --- More on Elections (user search)
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  NJ Elections : Poll - Dems have edge going into election --- More on Elections (search mode)
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Author Topic: NJ Elections : Poll - Dems have edge going into election --- More on Elections  (Read 19545 times)
DownWithTheLeft
downwithdaleft
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*****
Posts: 18,548
Italy


Political Matrix
E: 9.16, S: -3.13

« on: November 08, 2007, 08:01:29 PM »

Just to put a little more into what I have been saying today as I return to comment on these elections while I have free time.  The most surprising performance is that of Michael Guarino (who won by 750 in Rutherford).  He got 43% of the vote while being outspent 500-1.  This showing should make Republicans recruit a top-flight candidate such as Cassella or Roseman to take on the embattled Paul Sarlo.  Bernadette's lose has to be the greatest thing I have ever experienced, none of us expected a victory like this.  In fact, most expected Frazier to hold onto his council seat.
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DownWithTheLeft
downwithdaleft
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,548
Italy


Political Matrix
E: 9.16, S: -3.13

« Reply #1 on: November 09, 2007, 09:01:07 AM »

Just to put a little more into what I have been saying today as I return to comment on these elections while I have free time.  The most surprising performance is that of Michael Guarino (who won by 750 in Rutherford).  He got 43% of the vote while being outspent 500-1.  This showing should make Republicans recruit a top-flight candidate such as Cassella or Roseman to take on the embattled Paul Sarlo.  Bernadette's lose has to be the greatest thing I have ever experienced, none of us expected a victory like this.  In fact, most expected Frazier to hold onto his council seat.
Sarlo isn't in any trouble.
Seems to be that EnCap has doomed every politician from the area except for Cassella.  And we are not talking small loses we are talking McPherson's thrashing, Guida's huge loss, and Pittman's defeat in the primary.  There is no reason to believe if a candidate is seen as extreme, is outspent 500-1, and had to wrote in on the primary can get 43% that a better candidate couldn't win.
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DownWithTheLeft
downwithdaleft
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,548
Italy


Political Matrix
E: 9.16, S: -3.13

« Reply #2 on: November 09, 2007, 07:32:41 PM »

Despite the loss of my friends Nick Asselta and Sonny McCullough, this is a very good night for Republicans in New Jersey. We picked up Assembly seats for the first time in 16 years and voters rejected two bond referendums which, although I support in principle, are a huge financial hole at a difficult time in this state.

The next two fiscal years in New Jersey are not expected to go well at all. I expect that in 2009, Nick Asselta will return to the Assembly as part of our new majority.

You actually think Republicans can gain an Assembly majority in New Jersey anytime soon?  If they couldn't do it in this climate, I don't think they ever will. 
A shift from being the most heavily Democratic state to a Republican stronghold does not happen over night.  The strategy of chipping away is good, we've been out of power for awhile there is no rush.
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