2016: Mary Landrieu/Bob Casey vs. Mark Kirk/Joe Lieberman

[White Trash]

Former Senator Mary Landrieu takes the Democratic nomination and faces Mark Kirk and Joe Lieberman. Who wins in this strange election? Discuss with maps.

[White Trash]

277: Mark Kirk/Joe Lieberman - 44.8%
261: Mary Landrieu/Bob Casey - 45.0%
Evan McMullin/David French - 4.7%
Thom Hartmann/David Cobb - 4.1%
Others - 1.4%

Republicans:
Strong: college educated whites, upper income minorities, non-low income male minorities
Lean: white women, middle class minorities(Jews, Protestants)
Democrats:
Strong: non college educated, low income
Lean: non college educated white men, working class minorities(Catholics, Lutherans, Anglicans)

I think Landrieu probably wins the female vote by two to five percent. I'm guessing Indiana, Iowa, Illinois, Delaware, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, and Connecticut are probably the main swing states.

Surprised that the Dems win Ohio and Pennsylvania without Michigan and Iowa.

[White Trash]

Kirk's Midwestern appeal should probably help him in those states, especially if the college educated people in big cities turn out enough for him.

Non-college educated white voters seem to be a pretty dominant force in Michigan and Iowa. So I'm not sure if Kirk is enough to swing those states.