GA-6 Special election discussion thread

[GlobeSoc]

After KS-04 and the presidential election, I'm just going to assume most elections have a counting bias for Democrats early on and Republicans catching up later

[GlobeSoc]

I bet $10,000 on Ossoff winning.

You're lying.

Obviously, but someone needs to up the anti on Mondale's $500.

$500 is the max you can do on Predictit but you can get around that by opening more accounts

$850 is the max on any individual contract, but you can sometimes max out at $1700 by going all in on Yes X and NO Y.

Damn...this while time I thought the max was $500. Oh well, I'm not ready to bet more

DO IT

[GlobeSoc]

Ossoff got 71% of EV in Dekalb vs. 57% for Clinton

71% of EV in DeKalb is pretty much exactly the benchmark he needs for 50% districtwide.

pretty good start but I'm getting KS-04 deja vu and I'm afraid of early vote so I'm playing it cool

[GlobeSoc]

DeKalb is also the one part of the district where Dems can squeeze higher turnout numbers in ED voting since there weren't many early voting locations there. Very good news so far.

True but I'm still nervous.

[GlobeSoc]

Still early vote guys, don't overreact.

My big concern is whether or not Ossoff got shredded in Cobb and Fulton ED vote

[GlobeSoc]

I think that the Gray voters are probably handels biggest hurdle. She needs to get them to win.

[GlobeSoc]

If Ossoff is at 47%, the southern "undecided" effect will destroy him.