UK General Election, 2017 - Election Day and Results Thread (user search)
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  UK General Election, 2017 - Election Day and Results Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: UK General Election, 2017 - Election Day and Results Thread  (Read 147500 times)
cp
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Posts: 1,612
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« on: June 08, 2017, 09:23:04 AM »


I'd hate to be one of the 0.5 of a politician!  Do they chop off vertically or horizontally?

Actually, they use the D'Hondt method to divide him/her up into small portions that are added to every other member of Parliament.
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cp
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Posts: 1,612
United Kingdom


« Reply #1 on: June 08, 2017, 04:08:00 PM »

Remember last year Conservatives had 316 in the exit poll and ended up with majority.

this is a lie. the exit poll last year was dead on
That's incorrect:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VjJDyIAI4SI (8:15) Con 316, ended up with 16 more.

Doesn't matter. Expectations for the Tories were so high, anything less than the status quo is a loss.
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cp
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,612
United Kingdom


« Reply #2 on: June 08, 2017, 04:30:39 PM »

Would May be the shortest PM in office ever?

Since Andrew Bonar Law in the 20s, yes.
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cp
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,612
United Kingdom


« Reply #3 on: June 08, 2017, 04:32:30 PM »

Can someone, using the exit polls, say if any coalition would work?

Specifically, CON-led and "Progressive Alliance"

If the exit poll numbers are reflected in the final result, it is pretty much the least amenable situation for a coalition of any kind. Neither 'side' has enough to form a majority of more than 5 seats or so, even accounting for how unstable and arbitrary the definition of 'side' is in this scenario.
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cp
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,612
United Kingdom


« Reply #4 on: June 08, 2017, 04:38:51 PM »

Would May be the shortest PM in office ever?

Since Andrew Bonar Law in the 20s, yes.

Lol Bonar Law (one of the funniest names in political history)

Dick. Armey.

Dick Swett. Butch Otter.


Is this forum *only* 12 year olds now? Tongue
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cp
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,612
United Kingdom


« Reply #5 on: June 08, 2017, 04:44:29 PM »


Is that high?
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cp
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,612
United Kingdom


« Reply #6 on: June 08, 2017, 04:53:17 PM »

If LAB gets 68% in Sunderland South, it means the exit poll is generally right, if it's under that, tories are doing better and over means Labour doing better according to BBC

What are you basing that on?
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cp
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,612
United Kingdom


« Reply #7 on: June 08, 2017, 06:13:11 PM »

How much longer until Nuneaton? (How does one pronounce that? New-knee-uh-ton or New-nay-ton or something else?)

None eaten.
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cp
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,612
United Kingdom


« Reply #8 on: June 09, 2017, 02:34:12 AM »

Brexit, no matter its density, would be a catastrophe for the entire country (not just Leavers)!

Interesting to note that the Survation poll has turned out to be most accurate prediction:

https://twitter.com/FraserNelson/status/873048396054933505
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cp
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,612
United Kingdom


« Reply #9 on: June 09, 2017, 02:44:35 AM »

Are we really going to have another election this year? Where is the proof?

There's no proof, but the writing is on the wall. The Tory/DUP seat count is so thin and so fragile they'll never be able to get controversial legislation through. The Labour/not-Tory seat count is too fragmented and too slim to realistically hold power for much longer.
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cp
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,612
United Kingdom


« Reply #10 on: June 09, 2017, 03:47:26 AM »

I suppose it's a byproduct of the Tories and Labour siphoning up 80% of the vote this time. All the smaller parties suffered, no matter how strong their local candidate/campaign.
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cp
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,612
United Kingdom


« Reply #11 on: June 10, 2017, 02:44:27 AM »

It'd be interesting to see what level Tory support is amongst Catholics and gays right now.

FWIW, my highly conservative but delightfully Catholic mother in law (voting in Kingston-upon-Thames) hesitated about voting Lib Dem this time because she was not fond of Tim Farron's opposition to gay marriage Tongue

I doubt there would be much shift in either group because of this. I'll be very keen to see the reaction to the Tory contingent in the London pride parade next month. They were quietly tolerated and seemed to enjoy themselves in 2015. Rather subdued in 2016.
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cp
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,612
United Kingdom


« Reply #12 on: July 10, 2017, 05:19:21 AM »

Great work! It really shows the dramatic rise of Corbyn during the last election. Perhaps ironically, the only other improvement in any party's performance in the entire graph is Thatcher's post-Falklands (Malvinas?) recovery. Can't imagine either side would appreciate that comparison very much, though Tongue
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