Wisconsin Megathread v2: Hagedorn vs. Neubauer

[Pollster]

Checked in again with my former colleague who is polling this race regularly for an IE that is heavily involved - Mitchell's momentum has prettymuch completely stalled and he has actually begun to very slowly see his support recede. Evers far ahead, but is having trouble breaking 30%. Roys has begun to eat into Soglin's base.

[redjohn]

No surprises in the debate. Was pleasantly surprised by Evers, but still backing Mitchell. Pade came off as really inexperienced, Vinehout didn't do too well, and Flynn was bagged down by the archdiocese scandal, whether that has merit or not. Roys seemed pretty unclear on the prison question, but she came off poised. I really like Soglin, but his association with a certain Communist dictator would eliminate any chance of victory against Walker.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Probably coming soon to ads near you (after Butina was charged today with being a Russian agent):

https://twitter.com/rebeccagberg/status/1018956014618628096

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This is damagIng to Walker

[Ebsy]

To be fair, politicians pose for pictures with people they don't know and have barely spoken to all the time.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It just hurts, to be seen like that

[Mr. Illini]

To be fair, politicians pose for pictures with people they don't know and have barely spoken to all the time.

Doesn't mean it won't be effective to use against him

[Gass3268]

She attended his presidential kickoff event in 2015:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Also:



Source

[Gass3268]

Sheriff Clarke too:

[Gass3268]

Kelda Roys is the leading fundraiser, Mitchell second and then Evers. All behind Walker by a lot:

https://twitter.com/sbauerAP/status/1019214499679793153

https://twitter.com/sbauerAP/status/1019215459776974848

https://twitter.com/sbauerAP/status/1019215717915353089

https://twitter.com/sbauerAP/status/1019216012393287680

https://twitter.com/sbauerAP/status/1019216120170115077

[Zaybay]

I swear, if Kelda Roys gets the nomination, Im moving WI to safe R.

Also, those fundraising numbers are scattered between, like, 10 candidates. After the primary, funding should be directed at the nominee(hopefully Evers or Mitchell)

[mcmikk]

I swear, if Kelda Roys gets the nomination, Im moving WI to safe R.

Also, those fundraising numbers are scattered between, like, 10 candidates. After the primary, funding should be directed at the nominee(hopefully Evers or Mitchell)

I think she still beats Walker, but by a much narrower margin than Evers would.

Also, iirc the DGA has already accounted for this clown car primary and has reserved a large amount of funds for whoever the nominee ends up being.

[Gass3268]

I swear, if Kelda Roys gets the nomination, Im moving WI to safe R.

Also, those fundraising numbers are scattered between, like, 10 candidates. After the primary, funding should be directed at the nominee(hopefully Evers or Mitchell)

Why would you do that during the Year of the Woman?

[Zaybay]

I swear, if Kelda Roys gets the nomination, Im moving WI to safe R.

Also, those fundraising numbers are scattered between, like, 10 candidates. After the primary, funding should be directed at the nominee(hopefully Evers or Mitchell)

Why would you do that during the Year of the Woman?

She feels, to me at least, like Erin Murphy in Minnesota, a progressive woman who just doesnt really appeal to the state.

Mitchell is a union man, AA, rather socialist and charismatic. Evers is known throughout the state, and an educator, in a time when most Rs are gutting education. Roys, just seems to be the woman candidate, im sorry to say. She is endorsed by only pro-woman groups, and doesnt seem to have appeal that can be used across the state. She cant really appeal to the WOW suburbs, which are hard R, and she cant appeal to the swingy rural areas, which the others can.

I agree that this is the year of the woman, and we have had great woman candidates, such as Amy McGrath, OC, Kyristan Sinema, etc. But the thing is, all use the fact they are a woman second, and use their combat experience, vision, and record first, respectively. I just dont see Roys winning this race. Of course, I can be totally wrong, but its just my speculation.

[mcmikk]

Pocan endorses Mandela Barnes for Lt. Gov

https://twitter.com/MarkPocan/status/1019076421828927488

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I swear, if Kelda Roys gets the nomination, Im moving WI to safe R.

Also, those fundraising numbers are scattered between, like, 10 candidates. After the primary, funding should be directed at the nominee(hopefully Evers or Mitchell)

Dems have to win WI

[KingSweden]

I swear, if Kelda Roys gets the nomination, Im moving WI to safe R.

Also, those fundraising numbers are scattered between, like, 10 candidates. After the primary, funding should be directed at the nominee(hopefully Evers or Mitchell)

Why would you do that during the Year of the Woman?

She feels, to me at least, like Erin Murphy in Minnesota, a progressive woman who just doesnt really appeal to the state.

Mitchell is a union man, AA, rather socialist and charismatic. Evers is known throughout the state, and an educator, in a time when most Rs are gutting education. Roys, just seems to be the woman candidate, im sorry to say. She is endorsed by only pro-woman groups, and doesnt seem to have appeal that can be used across the state. She cant really appeal to the WOW suburbs, which are hard R, and she cant appeal to the swingy rural areas, which the others can.

I agree that this is the year of the woman, and we have had great woman candidates, such as Amy McGrath, OC, Kyristan Sinema, etc. But the thing is, all use the fact they are a woman second, and use their combat experience, vision, and record first, respectively. I just dont see Roys winning this race. Of course, I can be totally wrong, but its just my speculation.

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deleted

Dude you JUST made a post about how you aren’t a troll

[Gass3268]

Paul Soglin will not be running for reelection for Mayor of Madison:

https://twitter.com/WiStateJournal/status/1019286917823782913

[redjohn]

Paul Soglin will not be running for reelection for Mayor of Madison:

https://twitter.com/WiStateJournal/status/1019286917823782913

Wow. He's served as mayor on and off since 1973. Assuming this is his last term.

[Mr. Illini]

Paul Soglin will not be running for reelection for Mayor of Madison:

https://twitter.com/WiStateJournal/status/1019286917823782913

Wow - will be sad to see him go. Major FF.

[Progressive Pessimist]

To be fair, politicians pose for pictures with people they don't know and have barely spoken to all the time.

This is more than a huge coincidence though, considering that she has met with many other Republicans and conservative aligned groups on the behalf of the Kremlin.

[💥💥 brandon bro (he/him/his)]

Woof at those finance numbers for Soglin and Vinehout... were these two candidates ever as promising as Atlas sold them to be? Go back a number of pages and you'll see discussion of this race as being a dead heat between Vinehout and Evers with Soglin standing on the outside looking in.

[Mike Thick]

In the affidavit indicting Butina, it states that she met privately with a political candidate at their campaign announcement and at the 2015 NRA members meeting. I think there’s a better-than-not chance that it was Walker, and the people who follow this more closely than I do seem to agree

[MasterJedi]

New MU Poll: https://www.jsonline.com/story/news/politics/2018/07/18/results-expected-wednesday-marquette-poll/793675002/

Evers at 31%, next is Mitchell and Vinehout tied with 6%, Evers pretty much has this thing in the bag, nobody knows or cares who Mitchell is.

[Wiz in Wis]

New MU Poll: https://www.jsonline.com/story/news/politics/2018/07/18/results-expected-wednesday-marquette-poll/793675002/

Evers at 31%, next is Mitchell and Vinehout tied with 6%, Evers pretty much has this thing in the bag, nobody knows or cares who Mitchell is.

Barnes also seems likely to have the LG race wrapped up too.