UK General Election, 2017 - Election Day and Results Thread (user search)
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  UK General Election, 2017 - Election Day and Results Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: UK General Election, 2017 - Election Day and Results Thread  (Read 147461 times)
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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Posts: 31,829
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Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« on: June 08, 2017, 09:02:00 PM »

Labour within 200 seats of a majority now!

Labour 129
Conservative 106
SNP 17
DUP 7
Plaid Cymru 3
LD 2
SF 2
IND 1
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,829
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #1 on: June 08, 2017, 09:08:02 PM »

CORBYN REELECTED
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,829
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #2 on: June 08, 2017, 09:10:46 PM »

So I've been at work since polls closed. Apart from Clegg losing and a smalk swing to Labour, how is the overall seat projection looking?
 
  
Apparently Ruth Davidson saved the Tories. Not entirely sure if it will be the 326 though.

326 is the official mark that ignores that Sinn Fein won't take the oath.

The real number is likely 323.

SF has 2 seats so far - if that's all they get then that reduces parliament from 650 to 648 -> 325 needed for a majority.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,829
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #3 on: June 08, 2017, 09:11:59 PM »

Now we're at:

Labour 145
Conservative 125
SNP 21
DUP 8
Plaid Cymru 3
LD 2
SF 2
IND 1
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,829
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #4 on: June 08, 2017, 09:19:57 PM »

Now at:

Labour 157
Conservative 139
SNP 24
DUP 8
LD 3
Plaid Cymru 3
SF 3
IND 1


BOW TO CORBYN
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,829
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #5 on: June 08, 2017, 09:23:03 PM »

MAY REELECTED
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,829
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #6 on: June 08, 2017, 09:28:06 PM »

FARRON REELECTED
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,829
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #7 on: June 08, 2017, 09:29:34 PM »

Revised Exit Poll:

Conservative 318
Labour 267
SNP 32
LD 11
Plaid Cymru 3
Grn 1
Other 18
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,829
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #8 on: June 08, 2017, 09:32:04 PM »

We're now at:

Labour 173
Conservative 161
SNP 25
DUP 9
LD 6
SF 4
Plaid Cymru 3
IND 1

If conservatives are actually going to have a lead of 50ish, they need to take the lead soon.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,829
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #9 on: June 08, 2017, 09:42:36 PM »

Now we're at:

Labour 189
Conservative 178
SNP 27
DUP 10
LD 9
SF 4
Plaid Cymru 3
IND 1

BOW TO CORBYN
Logged
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,829
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #10 on: June 08, 2017, 09:54:26 PM »

Now at:

Labour 200
Conservative 192
SNP 27
LD 10
DUP 10
SF 5
Plaid Cymru 3
IND 1

BOW TO CORBYN
Logged
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,829
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #11 on: June 08, 2017, 09:56:21 PM »

Looks like first-past-the-post finally got Northern Ireland - it's now a two-party system.

Sinn Fein is hardly a party at all since they (probably) won't take the oath, but yeah.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,829
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #12 on: June 08, 2017, 10:02:30 PM »

Now at:

Labour 212
Conservative 210
SNP 27
LD 10
DUP 10
SF 6
Plaid Cymru 3
IND 1

BOW TO CORBYN
Logged
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,829
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #13 on: June 08, 2017, 10:11:46 PM »

Now at:

Conservative 223
Labour 221
SNP 31
LD 10
DUP 10
SF 7
Plaid Cymru 3
IND 1

Logged
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,829
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #14 on: June 08, 2017, 10:13:28 PM »

LAB and CON now tied in number of seats (220) according to BBC

This was a really poor gamble by May. She's not saying on as leader.

Whether it's her or Boris at the helm, it looks like a Conservative + DUP coalition is going to happen now.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,829
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #15 on: June 08, 2017, 10:26:27 PM »

Now at:

Conservative 250
Labour 230
SNP 33
LD 10
DUP 10
SF 7
Plaid Cymru 3
IND 1

Assuming SF doesn't take their seats, the total size of parliament is 643, thus the finish line is 322. If SF does take their seats, the finish line is 326.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,829
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #16 on: June 08, 2017, 10:37:21 PM »

Now at:

Conservative 263
Labour 236
SNP 33
LD 10
DUP 10
SF 7
Plaid Cymru 3
IND 1

Finish line is likely 322.
Logged
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,829
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #17 on: June 08, 2017, 10:44:32 PM »

Now at:

Conservative 270
Labour 240
SNP 33
LP 10
DUP 10
SF 7
Plaid Cymru 3
IND 1

Finish line is likely 322.
Logged
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,829
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #18 on: June 08, 2017, 10:52:24 PM »

Now at:

Conservative 280
Labour 242
SNP 33
LD 10
DUP 10
SF 7
Plaid Cymru 3
IND 1

Finish line is likely 322.
Logged
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,829
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #19 on: June 08, 2017, 11:09:04 PM »

Now at:

Conservative 290
Labour 250
SNP 34
LD 11
DUP 10
SF 7
Plaid Cymru 3
IND 1

Finish line is likely 322.
Logged
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,829
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #20 on: June 08, 2017, 11:20:19 PM »

If there is a second election in the autumn, who is favored to win? Well, of course, as we see, everything can change, but who starts out with a better shot to win a majority?

Labour would never make it all the way to 326, but they could definitely get close enough to form a coalition with SNP.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,829
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #21 on: June 08, 2017, 11:31:53 PM »

Now at:

Conservative 298
Labour 255
SNP 34
LD 12
DUP 10
SF 7
Plaid Cymru 3
IND 1

Assuming SF doesn't take their seats, the Conservative+DUP coalition is 14 seats away from the 322 needed for a majority.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,829
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #22 on: June 08, 2017, 11:51:36 PM »

Now at:

Conservative 305
Labour 257
SNP 34
LD 12
DUP 10
SF 7
Plaid Cymru 3
IND 1

Assuming SF doesn't take their seats, the Conservative+DUP coalition is 7 seats short of a majority.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,829
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #23 on: June 09, 2017, 12:09:24 AM »

Now at:

Conservatives 310
Labour 258
SNP 34
LD 12
DUP 10
SF 7
Plaid Cymru 3
GRN 1
IND 1

Conservatives+DUP are 2 seats short now assuming SF doesn't take their seats.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,829
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #24 on: June 09, 2017, 12:18:55 AM »

@LordAshcroft
 Sinn Fein have confirmed they won't be taking up their 7 seats so with 4 Speakers also not voting the overall majority is 320...

For the four speakers, is this like the US House speakership where the speaker(s) don't usually vote but are allowed to vote if they want to, or are they literally prohibited from voting?

----------

Conservative+DUP has what it needs now.

Conservative 312
Labour 258
SNP 34
LD 12
DUP 10
SF 7
Plaid Cymru 3
GRN 1
IND 1
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