Who has a better chance of becoming governor?

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Eaves, but only if he runs again in 2011.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

As the NJ GOP proved in 2002, they don't actually nominate people who can win. There are some signs that Diane Allen might even get booted from the State Senate this year; sad.

Diane Allen to be booted from the State Senate?  What planet is this?

Certainly not by the inept Rich Dennison.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

As the NJ GOP proved in 2002, they don't actually nominate people who can win. There are some signs that Diane Allen might even get booted from the State Senate this year; sad.

Diane Allen to be booted from the State Senate?  What planet is this?

Certainly not by the inept Rich Dennison.

He received 1.5 times as many votes in the Democratic primary than she did in the Republican primary. For two uncontested primaries, that's usually a sign of weakness for the incumbent. I don't doubt that she is the better Senator, but the increasingly-Democratic 7th might dump her for partisan reasons.

It's a sign of an incredibly Democratic district—which, by the way, it has been since she first won in 1995.  The thing went, like, what, 66–33 for Al Gore?

The fact that 3,863 Democrats showed up to pull the Dennison lever means nothing.  Especially if you consider that 4,894 Democrats showed up to pull the Diane F. Gabriel lever in 2003.  (In case you're wondering 'Who?', Gabriel was the sacrificial lamb who lost to Allen in a landslide.)

Democrats should be much more worried about losing a seat to Propp in the 7th than Republicans need be that Allen will lose hers.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

As the NJ GOP proved in 2002, they don't actually nominate people who can win. There are some signs that Diane Allen might even get booted from the State Senate this year; sad.

Diane Allen to be booted from the State Senate?  What planet is this?

Certainly not by the inept Rich Dennison.

He received 1.5 times as many votes in the Democratic primary than she did in the Republican primary. For two uncontested primaries, that's usually a sign of weakness for the incumbent. I don't doubt that she is the better Senator, but the increasingly-Democratic 7th might dump her for partisan reasons.

It's a sign of an incredibly Democratic district—which, by the way, it has been since she first won in 1995.  The thing went, like, what, 66–33 for Al Gore?

The fact that 3,863 Democrats showed up to pull the Dennison lever means nothing.  Especially if you consider that 4,894 Democrats showed up to pull the Diane F. Gabriel lever in 2003.  (In case you're wondering 'Who?', Gabriel was the sacrificial lamb who lost to Allen in a landslide.)

Democrats should be much more worried about losing a seat to Propp in the 7th than Republicans need be that Allen will lose hers.

And this is coming from the person who thinks Bodine has no shot?

Indeed, though certainly PoliticsNJ backs me on this one.  I'm not bullish at all on GOP chances in NJ this year, but I do think that Republicans are more likely to get a pick-up in 7 than Democrats are.

Most likely, though, there will be no net change here.  Dennison will miss by a mile while Propp misses somewhat narrowly, like the GOP slate in 2003.