So it looks like Democrats will probably be losing around 2-4 seats in the state House?
Depends on how well they hold up on the seats gained in 2008 and 2006 (especially 2008), which have not been discussed here yet mostly.
The danger is more in the Dems losing 10 seats than it is in the Republicans losing the House, as the Dems picked off almost all of the low-hanging fruit the last two elections and will already be down one due to HD-69.
Democrats would have to lose every single vulnerable seat for that to happen. Anyway, dont these Democrats know how to use the advantages of incumbency to stay in office the way Republicans did after 1994? Jesus Christ.