2008: Obama/Bayh vs. Romney/Murkowski
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 21, 2024, 01:54:36 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  2008: Obama/Bayh vs. Romney/Murkowski
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: 2008: Obama/Bayh vs. Romney/Murkowski  (Read 691 times)
ShadowRocket
cb48026
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,468


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: September 24, 2009, 04:11:58 PM »

The Democratic primary plays out the same way it does in RL. Except when the time comes to pick a running mate, Barack Obama picks Evan Bayh instead of Joe Biden.

But while the Republican primaries still start with Huckabee's Iowa win, Mitt Romney defeats John McCain in NH, who subsequently drops outs. Romney still wins MI, Huckabee goes on to win SC, while Romney wins FL. On Super Tuesday, Huckabee wins all the same states he did in RL, and Romney does the same with the addition of the McCain states. Effectively wrapping up the Republican nomination.

Due to lagging in the polls through the summer, Romney sets out to shake up the dynamics of the race by deciding to pick a woman or minority to be his running mate. He ends up ultimately picking Lisa Murkowski. The decision to do so gives him a bump in the polls.

The string of bank failures still happens in September with the $700 billion bailout package still being passed.

With all that said, how different would the outcome of this alternate '08 match-up be from RL, if at all. 
Logged
MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
Kalwejt
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 57,380


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: September 24, 2009, 04:35:18 PM »

The Democratic primary plays out the same way it does in RL. Except when the time comes to pick a running mate, Barack Obama picks Evan Bayh instead of Joe Biden.

But while the Republican primaries still start with Huckabee's Iowa win, Mitt Romney defeats John McCain in NH, who subsequently drops outs. Romney still wins MI, Huckabee goes on to win SC, while Romney wins FL. On Super Tuesday, Huckabee wins all the same states he did in RL, and Romney does the same with the addition of the McCain states. Effectively wrapping up the Republican nomination.

Due to lagging in the polls through the summer, Romney sets out to shake up the dynamics of the race by deciding to pick a woman or minority to be his running mate. He ends up ultimately picking Lisa Murkowski. The decision to do so gives him a bump in the polls.

The string of bank failures still happens in September with the $700 billion bailout package still being passed.

With all that said, how different would the outcome of this alternate '08 match-up be from RL, if at all. 

I na first moment I thoght about Frank Murkowski, lol Grin

Anyway, Obama still wins. Maybe narrower, but Romney would be easy to attack as a flip-flopper, esspecially during a crisis. I still think McCain was the best Rep candidate in 2008.

Murkowski may not help, but would not hurt the ticket the way Palin did: that's much.



Romney would take Nevada, Arizona and Colorado

Obama still would win Indiana, because of resources he put there and Bayh name.

Obama/Biden: 351 ev

Romney/Murkowski: 187 ev
Logged
President Mitt
Giovanni
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,347
Samoa


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: September 24, 2009, 04:49:11 PM »



Romney narrowly wins Colorado, Nevada, Virginia, and Ohio. Margins in McCain States increase by about 3%.
Logged
RIP Robert H Bork
officepark
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,030
Czech Republic


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: September 24, 2009, 05:36:03 PM »
« Edited: September 24, 2009, 05:40:15 PM by True Conservative »

Romney fares worse than McCain did. Far worse.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.218 seconds with 12 queries.