How many Bundestag votes for chancellor will Olaf Scholz get?

[Secretary of State Liberal Hack]

I would think the greens and FDP would have the most defictions, not only do they have to make the most comprimises but they also tend to associate more crankish/fringe elements into their party which while outside the leadership does have some represenation in their parlimentary caucus and would be likley to vote agains the goverment for their own idiosycratic reason.