NBC Marist Polls (MI, MN, WI): Whitmer +9, Waltz +9/Swanson +11, Evers +13

[redjohn]

These look way too D-friendly (as do the Senate numbers, though not quite as bad)

Agreed. Evers will not win by 13, and nobody should assume that he will because that spells disaster. Nevertheless, all recent polls have shown that the idea that the midwest has completely slipped away from Democrats is ridiculous.

[redjohn]

Cook PvI has D+2 in WI, Evers will win by 2-4

I'd gladly take a 2-4 win. Still, knowing Wisconsin, 13-point fantasy leads will dramatically shrink when Republicans begin bombarding airwaves with anti-Evers propaganda. Watch this lead turn into a single-digit deficit. Race is a true tossup.