Democrats now "favored" in Electoral College

[Erc]

One election does not an advantage make:

Given a uniform national swing, these would be the electoral college results given a tie in the PV:

2004:  R 242 D 296  (D +54)
2000:  R 301 D 237  (R +67)
1996:  R 259 D 279  (D +20)
1992:  R 275 D 263  (R +12)
1988:  R 286 D 252  (R +34)
1984:  R 306 D 232  (R +74)
1980:  R 255 D 283  (D +28)
1976:  R 284 D 254  (R +30)
1972:  R 265 D 273  (D +8)
1968:  R 320 D 218  (R +102)
1964:  R 252 D 286  (R +34)
1960:  R 223 D 314  (D +91)
1956:  R 259 D 272  (D +13)
1952:  R 285 D 246  (R +39)
1948:  R 299 D 232  (R +67)
1944:  R 320 D 211  (R +109)
1940:  R 318 D 213  (R +105)
1936:  R 305 D 226  (R +79)
1932:  R 272 D 259  (R +13)
1928:  R 227 D 304  (D +77)
[1924 Omitted due to Lafollette]
1920:  R 283 D 248  (R +35)
1916:  R 254 D 277  (D +23)
[1912 Omitted due to Roosevelt/Taft]
1908:  R 257 D 226  (R +31)
1904:  R 236 D 240  (D +4)
1900:  R 234 D 213  (R +21)
1896:  R 232 D 215  (R +17)

Republicans have historically had a very slight (but statistically insignificant) advantage in the electoral college.  The fact that the Democrats had the advantage in 2004 is, as of yet, no clear sign of any "trend"--and they've had larger (1960) in the past.