OK-5: Horn of Life (user search)
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Author Topic: OK-5: Horn of Life  (Read 3695 times)
Frenchrepublican
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 6,275


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« on: August 12, 2019, 05:57:11 AM »
Quote from: Pittsburgh For Kamala on August 11, 2019, 11:18:19 AM
🤷🏻‍♂️


They give Trump a 58% favourability rate (statewide), it seems quite low considering that in 2016 he won 2/3 of the vote.
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Frenchrepublican
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 6,275


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« Reply #1 on: August 12, 2019, 06:11:16 AM »
As of now I would rate this district as Tilt R / tossup

Two points

On the one hand Trump won this district by double digits in 2016 and even if this district will probably trend D in 2020, Trump will likely win it again by a big margin ; on the other hand this district is very urban/suburban and Oklahoma County is one of the few place in the state where democrats have a true growth potential.

Concerning 2020, it's clear that Horn is vulnerable, republicans have a bunch of good candidates, Horn is not a conservative democrat by most standards, Trump will likely give some coattails effects to the republican candidate, but Horn is still more likely to win than Peterson or Brindisi
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